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‘Violent Night’s’ Solid $13 Million Start Can’t Top ‘Wakanda Forever’s’ $18 Million In Another Slow Weekend

We may be just two weekends away from the year’s biggest opening when the long-awaited Avatar sequel finally comes out, but until then we’re in for a slog. This was the year’s sixth-worst weekend with an overall box office of $52.9 million (a hair ahead of the $52.7 million post-Thanksgiving frame last year), and next weekend has the possibility of being the year’s worst. Yes, early December is typically rough (the post-Thanksgiving weekend in 2019 was the second worst of the year, and at $90.3 million was one of just four weekends that year to fall under $100 million), but barring 2020 and 2021, this is the worst post-Thanksgiving weekend since 1997, and it is unfortunate to see that the dearth of significant new releases is keeping the box office in a post-pandemic slump.

‘Wakanda Forever’ To Win 4th Weekend While ‘Violent Night’ Could Continue Solid Run Of Mid-Budget Genre Films

The post-Thanksgiving weekend box office is typically weak, primarily made up of declining holdovers from the holiday frame. This weekend is no exception, but the decline is from a much smaller base than usual, with the $93.8 million Thanksgiving three-day and $134 million five-day weekend numbers being even worse than last year’s and the worst in decades by pre-pandemic standards. The year looks to end on a relatively high note, with just two weeks left until Avatar: The Way of Water is unleashed, but until then it will be a quiet fortnight at the box office.

‘Wakanda Forever’ Dominates Again With Strong $64 Million Five-Day Gross In Otherwise Weak Thanksgiving Weekend, ‘Strange World’ Flops With $18.6 Million Five-Day Cume

Though the holiday season is often a box office bonanza, unfortunately the numbers over this long holiday weekend aren’t giving us much to be thankful for as the three-day cume for the entire box office came to just $92.9 million (down from last weekend’s $101 million) and the five-day cume came to $133 million. Of course we can’t expect pre-pandemic numbers (2019 had a $181 million three-day and $262 million five-day, and that was actually down from 2018), but these numbers are even worse than last year’s $96.3 million three-day and $142 million five-day back when many were still hesitant to return to the cinema. For some perspective, the last pre-pandemic Thanksgiving weekend to even fall under $100 million for the three-day was in 1994.

‘Strange World’ & Other Newcomers To Be No Match For ‘Wakanda Forever’ Over Busy But Soft Thanksgiving Weekend

Though Black Panther: Wakanda Forever looks to top the charts in its third weekend, possibly hitting $350 million by Sunday after passing $300 million on Tuesday, the four big Wednesday releases for the long Thanksgiving frame are all set to shake up what has been a mostly limp box office. Strange World from Disney, Devotion from Sony, The Fabelmans from Universal, and Bones and All from United Artists Releasing (the latter two expanding from just a handful of screens) make this one of the busiest weekends of the year in terms of new releases. We may not see impressive performances from any of these titles, but the slate should be enough to keep the overall box office above $100 million for the third weekend in a row, the first time this has happened since July (in fact, the past two weekends were the first time since July there were even two in a row). This will also be the first weekend in over a month with two titles above $10 million and could be the first weekend since July where two films gross over $20 million, and it could be the first time since August the entire top five is above $5 million. None of this is to say this will be a great or even good Thanksgiving weekend, but it’s an improvement over much of the fall.

‘Wakanda Forever’ Drops 63% for $67 Million Weekend 2, ‘The Menu’ Chomps On Solid $9 Million Opening

After Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’s $181 million opening led to a $209 million total domestic box office last weekend (the fourth best overall weekend of the year and the fifth best since the start of the pandemic), the numbers fell back down to Earth this weekend. The total box office came to just $100 million (making this the first time since July that there were two nine-digit weekends in a row), with Wakanda Forever leading the way at $67.3 million, down 63% from last weekend. While this isn’t a bad number for Wakanda Forever, the hopes that the film would hold markedly better than recent MCU films were in vain. All in all, it looks to play closer to this year’s earlier franchise installments Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (67% second weekend drop and multiplier of 2.2) and Thor: Love and Thunder (68% second weekend drop and multiplier of 2.4) than to the first Black Panther (45% second weekend drop and multiplier of 3.5).

‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ To Rule In 2nd Weekend, Counterprogramming ‘The Menu’ & ‘She Said’ Expected To Open Soft

The overall box office last weekend was $209 million, with 87% of that coming from Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’s $181 million opening. This weekend will be dominated once again by the MCU film, which has a good shot of topping the charts until Avatar: The Way of Water opens on December 16. The main question is how well it will hold and how much it can prop up an otherwise weak box office, which saw no other film even make it to the double digits last weekend, an unfortunate stat that is likely to be repeated this weekend (in better times, the second weekend on the first Black Panther had three other films above $10 million). This weekend’s overall box office has a chance of staying above $100 million, but that would require a “better than the usual blockbuster” hold from Wakanda Forever. A 60% drop for the sequel would put it at $72.5 million this weekend, which is reasonable to expect, and in that scenario the rest of the box office would have a hard time lifting the overall numbers up into the nine digits, barring any surprises from the newcomers.

‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ Scores Year’s 2nd Best Opening With $180 Million

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever has finally ended the box office blues. It will be a close call, but based on the estimates, the year’s biggest opener remains Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness with its $187 million start. Nonetheless, Wakanda Forever’s $180 million opening is a huge one, being the biggest ever for the month of November (beating the $158 million of The Hunger Games: Catching Fire), the second biggest of the year, and the 13th biggest of all time (though it could go up or down a few slots once the actuals come out). It led an overall weekend box office of $208 million, which is the fourth biggest of the year and the biggest by a long shot of the past four months, with no other weekend since July 8-10 even going above $133 million.

‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ To Revive Flagging Box Office

The box office has been in a brutally slow period since summer ended, but at last there is a huge blockbuster to save the day, at least temporarily. The much awaited Black Panther: Wakanda Forever opens this weekend, and it could see the year’s biggest opening (currently held by fellow MCU film Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness with $187 million) and maybe even give this weekend the year’s biggest overall box office (currently held by July 8-10 when, not surprisingly, the last MCU film Thor: Love and Thunder opened to $144 million and led a $238 million cume from all films), though that’s a much loftier feat. The film’s predecessor Black Panther opened to $202 million in 2018, then the fifth biggest opening of all time and currently the eighth biggest, and there is the possibility that the sequel surpasses it. Don’t be disappointed if Wakanda Forever doesn’t beat any of the aforementioned stats, but wherever it ends up, we are sure to see explosive numbers this weekend.

‘Black Adam’ Tops In Third Weekend With $18.5 Million, ‘One Piece Film: Red’ Is Another Solid Anime Release With $9.5 Million Opening

This was another rough weekend at the box office with the combined gross of all films clocking in at $57.7 million, which is down 15% from last weekend and ranks as the year’s eighth lowest grossing. It isn’t all bad news, though. The weekend saw some great holds and a solid opening, and the post-summer box office slump will come to an end next weekend when Black Panther: Wakanda Forever delivers what may be the year’s biggest opening, leading what could potentially be the year’s highest grossing weekend.

‘One Piece’ To Challenge ‘Black Adam’ In Quiet Weekend

Next weekend will give a much needed jolt to the box office when Black Panther: Wakanda Forever opens and likely pushes the overall box office above $200 million for the first time since July. This weekend, it’s unlikely to even cross $60 million. With nothing significant opening, expect a drop from last weekend’s soft $67.7 million total, which itself was down 40% from the $114 million cume the weekend before when Black Adam was able to rescue us from the box office slump, if only for one weekend.

‘Black Adam’ Drops 59% But Retains Top Spot With $28 Million, ‘Prey For The Devil’ Opens To Soft $7 Million In Weak Pre-Halloween Weekend

After a $114 million overall box office last weekend, the first since July to hit the nine digits, the numbers plunged back down again to a weak $65.8 million pre-Halloween weekend. The weekends leading up to or including October 31st are often among the year’s lowest grossing, so this isn’t such a buzzkill, but it’s still far below the pre-pandemic norms, with no late October weekend grossing this little since the 1990s. Next weekend looks to be even worse, and though Black Panther: Wakanda Forever will bring the numbers back up the following weekend and possibly give us just the year’s fourth $200+ million total weekend box office, the current state of the yo-yoing box office is still far from ideal.

‘Black Adam’ To Dominate 2nd Weekend, ‘Ticket To Paradise’ Faces Off Against Newcomer ‘Prey For The Devil’ For Runner-Up

After the box office lifted up past $100 million last weekend for the first time since July, propelled by the latest superhero saga Black Adam, it is set to fall back down below the nine-digit line once again this weekend with no major titles opening to keep it afloat. It should still be a “good” weekend relative to the dry spell from mid-August through mid-October which saw seven straight weekends below $65 million, but the numbers may stoop that low again next weekend. Thankfully,Black Panther: Wakanda Forever comes the weekend after and will boast some of the biggest, if not the biggest, opening numbers of the year, but the rocky up-and-down box office of the post-Covid era continues to persist.Armageddon Time

Blockbusters Return As ‘Black Adam’ Opens To $67 Million, ‘Ticket to Paradise’ Is Solid Counterprogramming with $16 Million

After 12 straight weekends with an overall box office under $100 million, we’re finally back above the nine digit threshold. Led by Black Adam, the latest film in the DC Extended Universe, this weekend had an overall gross of $113 million, the best since July and the third best non-summer weekend of the year. Black Adam’s $67 million start is the best sinceThor: Love and Thunder (which, perhaps not coincidentally, was the last big superhero film) in July, and it is the best opening of the year for a property that hasn’t already been established on the big screen (though it of course has big franchise connections).

‘Black Adam’ Brings Back The Blockbuster, ‘Ticket to Paradise’ Provides The Counterprogramming

Finally, Black Adam signals the return of the blockbuster. The DCEU film could not come soon enough, arriving after a brutal box office drought with 12 straight weekends where the overall box office was below $100 million, a streak that will hopefully be broken this weekend. After over two months of what was ultimately counter-programming without the main programming, it’s great to have some heavier weight classes back in the ring, which started with last weekend’s disappointing but still good $40.1 million opening for Halloween Ends. Black Adam isn’t the sort to come even close to a nine digit opening (for that we’ll have to wait three weeks for Black Panther: Wakanda Forever), but two weeks in a row of at least mid-eight digit openings is bringing some much needed relief to a struggling marketplace.

Horror Reigns This October As ‘Halloween Ends’ Opens To $41 Million And ‘Smile’ Continues Its Phenomenal Holds

First up, the good news. This weekend had the best total box office in eight weekends, led by Halloween Ends, which had the best opening in 12 weekends. The weekend was 31% above last weekend and 39% above the average of the past seven weekends. After a disastrous two and a half month stretch, the box office is finally lifting back up, and next weekend it should vault above $100 million for the first time since July, led by the release of Black Adam.

‘Halloween Ends’ To Scare Away Box Office Slump

At last, the reinforcements are arriving. After 11 weekends in a row under $100 million and seven in a row under $65 million, the overall box office will finally start returning to non-disastrous levels this weekend with the first tentpole title in months, Halloween Ends. Unless the Universal film has a huge overperformance, we won’t be getting into the nine digits this weekend, but Halloween Ends should be the top opener since Thor: Love and Thunder over three months ago and it will likely lead the biggest total weekend box office since Bullet Train opened in the first weekend of August (that weekend had an overall cume of $92.1 million, a number that is possible but not especially likely this weekend). Next weekend, the combination of the Dwayne Johnson-starring DCEU film Black Adam and the George Clooney and Julia Roberts starring rom-com Ticket to Paradise will be enough to push the box office past the $100 million mark for the first time since July.

‘Smile’ Has Year’s Best Second Weekend Hold As It Falls Just 22%, ‘Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile’ Bites Off A Meager $11.5 million, ‘Amsterdam’ Flops With $6.5 Million Start

It was another lousy weekend with a total box office of just $57 million, the 11th in a row under $100 million and the seventh in a row under $65 million. There hasn’t been a stretch this bad since before the summer of 2021, but thankfully reinforcements are on the way. The next two weekends will see the releases of Halloween Ends and Black Adam, which will bring us to an era where these truly dire weekend grosses are exceptions rather than the norm.

‘Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile’ & ‘Amsterdam’ Open As Dry Spell Winds Down

September turned out to be the lowest grossing month since May 2021, and by pre-pandemic standards it was the lowest grossing since 1996. Though a few individual films did okay, there’s no denying that the $319 million cume for the entire month was a horrendous return. Hopefully it will never be repeated, and thankfully the changing of the box office seasons is upon us. This weekend is the last of the doldrums, and the one-two punch of Halloween Ends next weekend and Black Adam the following weekend will bring the numbers back up to levels we haven’t seen since July, with the bigger fireworks show coming November 11 when Black Panther: Wakanda Forever opens. The year’s final quarter may not live up to pre-pandemic years, but it is still a huge relief after the two month dry spell. We just had 10 weekends in a row (11 after this weekend) below $100 million, with the past six weekends coming in under $65 million and this weekend likely continuing that trend.

‘Smile’ Overperforms With Great $22 Million, But It Can’t Turn The Box Office Frowns Upside Down As ‘Bros’ Flops

Paramount’s cleverly promoted horror film Smile may be full of terror and trauma, but it is the sole bright spot in the box office this weekend, opening to $22 million and coming in first place by a huge margin. The $17 million budgeted scarefest nabbed the best opening since Bullet Train nearly two months ago, beating out bigger budget and more hyped titles such as The Woman King and Don't Worry Darling. This is all from a film that was once planned to go straight to Paramount+, only changing direction and ultimately getting a 3,645 theater launch after a strong response from test audiences. Time will tell if it has the legs that The Black Phone had (grossing $89.9 million from a $23.6 million opening) and Barbarian is having (opening to $10.5 million and now at $33.1 million after four weekends, and that’s off a budget of just $4 million), but this is a great opening even if it it plays like a more typically frontloaded horror film from here. The better than expected hold following its $8.2 million Friday-plus-previews gross bodes well for its long term potential, as do the pretty good reviews (75% on Rotten Tomatoes) and the not bad for a horror film B- CinemaScore. Internationally the film grossed an additional $14.5 million for a global cume of $36.5 million.

‘Smile’ To Bring Screams & ‘Bros’ To Bring Laughs In Another Slow Weekend

This weekend and next weekend are the last two before Halloween Ends arrives to kick off the fall/winter blockbuster season and revive the box office, but until then the smaller titles are doing their best to keep the box office afloat. Last weekend’s $61.8 million overall box office cume may not have been good in absolute terms (before the pandemic it would have been the worst in decades), but it was the best weekend in over a month, and this weekend could see similar numbers with two new studio films leading the way. We’re almost out of the slump, and it turned out to not be as bad as expected.
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