Holiday 2014 Forecast

by Ray Subers
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1

October 31, 2014

It's that time of year again.

The "holiday" box office season kicks off next week with Interstellar and Big Hero 6, and runs through Christmas. Before the season officially begins, we're unveiling our predictions for what will be the highest-grossing movies at the domestic box office.

The next eight weeks feature a few guaranteed blockbusters, including the penultimate chapter of the Hunger Games series and the final installment in the Hobbit trilogy. Writer/director Christopher Nolan's Interstellar also seems to fit in to that category, though its box office may not quite match up with the hype.

Meanwhile, the season is overflowing with family entertainment. Big Hero 6 and Penguins of Madagascar are the animated offerings, while December brings three Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb, Annie and Into the Woods.

Other major contenders include Exodus: Gods and Kings, Unbroken, Horrible Bosses 2 and The Interview.

We'll unveil our predictions for the Top 12 over the next few days, beginning with the de facto winner (The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1). Afterwards, we'll include some thoughts about the rest of the season's releases.

Note: All predictions are for domestic box office only.

Forecast (click titles for analysis):
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 - $385 million
2. Interstellar - $265 million
3. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies - $235 million
4. Big Hero 6 - $215 million
5. Into the Woods - $140 million
6. Penguins of Madagascar - $135 million
7. Exodus: Gods and Kings - $130 million
8. Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb - $120 million
9. Unbroken - $105 million
10. Horrible Bosses 2 - $100 million
11. Annie - $95 million
12. The Interview - $90 million

A look at the rest of the late-year contenders >>

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> MORE: News | Features
DAILY: Tuesday, 6/18 (31 tracked)
New MPAA Ratings Added
DAILY: Monday, 6/17 (31 tracked)
WEEKEND: Weekend Actuals, 'Men in Black' #1
DAILY: Friday, 'Men in Black' #1
WEEKLY: 'Pets 2' Tops the Week with $68.2m
DAILY: Thursday 6/13, (44 tracked)
DAILY: Wednesday, 6/12 (29 tracked)