Box Office Mojo - News Box Office News and Analysis https://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?ref_=bo_nr_rss Fri, 22 Nov 2019 03:35:05 +0000Fri, 22 Nov 2019 03:35:05 +000060Copyright 2019 IMDb.com, Inc. 'Frozen II' Set to Become Only the Tenth Animated film to Open With Over $100 Million https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3312452612/?ref_=bo_nr_rss_1 Following one of the worst weekends of the year and the second straight weekend in which the top ten failed to generate a combined $100 million, this weekend is expected to see a single film top that figure all on its own. Disney will release <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2424210945/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Frozen II</a>, the sequel to <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt2294629/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">the 2013 hit</a> that delivered over $400 million at the domestic box office and over $1.27 billion worldwide, and expectations are high. In addition to that, Sony will release <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2651096577/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood</a> and STX will release the action-thriller <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2886174209/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">21 Bridges</a>, all of which hope to give the 2019 box office a much needed jolt.<br/><br/>Heading into the weekend <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2424210945/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Frozen II</a> is already breaking records in terms of pre-sales with Fandango reporting back in early November the film eclipsed first day pre-sales for all other animated films in the company&#039;s 19-year history. Fellow online ticket retailer Atom Tickets reports the film broke the same first day record as well as seeing the best pre-sales ever for an animated movie on Atom. This news leads to the film&#039;s opening weekend in which industry expectations are anywhere from $105-115 million with Disney anticipating a similar performance in the $100 million range. Historically, the largest animated opening in November is the $70.4 million opening for <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2807793153/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Incredibles</a> back in 2004 followed by 2018&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3075966465/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Grinch</a>, which opened with $67.5 million last November.<br/><br/><figure class="importance-minor"> <img src="https://m.media-amazon.com/images/M/MV5BODk3MmYwZWEtYWNjZS00MGRkLTgzMzgtZDBmMzkxMGI0N2RmXkEyXkFqcGdeQXVyNjg2NjQwMDQ@._V1_UY250_.jpg"> <figcaption><span class="a-size-small">Disney</span></figcaption> </figure> Interestingly enough, <b>Frozen II</b>&#039;s performance, in terms of IMDb page views, shows the film pacing behind the likes of previous $100+ million animated openers including <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3764946433/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Finding Dory</a>, <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2271380993/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Minions</a>, <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2071758337/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Incredibles 2</a> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3798500865/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Toy Story 4</a>. It is, however, outperforming <b>The Grinch</b> over the two weeks leading up to release. That being said, this is hardly surprising as the four sequels we mentioned came well beyond the release of their predecessor whereas <b>Frozen</b> isn&#039;t so far removed from its predecessor making its characters far more top of mind. In fact, from that perspective, <b>Frozen II</b> is pacing much closer to its predecessor than most sequels actually do when looking at IMDb page views.<br/><br/>That being said, while no animated film has opened over $100 million outside the summer corridor, we fully expect <b>Frozen II</b> to be the exception. We&#039;re going out with a <b>$120 million</b> forecast and will simply wait until the snow settles to see how this one performs. No matter how well it does this weekend, should audiences take to it as critics have &amp;mdash; 78% on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/frozen_ii/">RottenTomatoes</a> and 65 on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.metacritic.com/movie/frozen-2">Metacritic</a> &amp;mdash; it should continue its success well throughout the holiday season.<br/><br/>Right now we&#039;re expecting Fox&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl990348801/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Ford v Ferrari</a> to pull into second position in its sophomore frame, after an outstanding debut last week. We&#039;re anticipating a drop around -43% and an <b>$18 million</b> performance, leading to a domestic cume topping $60 million by the end of the weekend. However, the question is not only can <b>Ford v Ferrari</b> hold on that well in its second weekend, but can it hold on that well against our next release, which also targets an adult audience and, could, in fact even outperform an $18 million three-day.<br/><br/><figure class="importance-minor"> <img src="https://m.media-amazon.com/images/M/MV5BYTc1OWFmZDYtNDkzMy00ZjM2LTkxZDItM2E3ZTg3NTE1ZWE2XkEyXkFqcGdeQXVyMTkxNjUyNQ@@._V1_UY250_.jpg"> <figcaption><span class="a-size-small">Sony</span></figcaption> </figure> Sony&#039;s drama <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2651096577/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood</a> is looking good heading the weekend. The film finds <b>Tom Hanks</b> portraying the late Fred Rogers, better known as Mister Rogers and star of &#034;Mister Rogers&#039; Neighborhood&#034;, which ran for 31 seasons and over 900 episodes from 1968-2001. The $25 million production debuted at the Toronto Film Festival in September and has earned rave reviews ever since &amp;mdash; 97% on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/a_beautiful_day_in_the_neighborhood/">RottenTomatoes</a> and 80 on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.metacritic.com/movie/a-beautiful-day-in-the-neighborhood">Metacritic</a> &amp;mdash; and the studio is anticipating a $14 million opening while industry tracking is a bit higher, targeting a $17-20 million launch.<br/><br/>A look at IMDb page views shows <b>Beautiful Day</b> pacing very well compared to recent adult-targeted features, pacing just behind both <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl990348801/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Ford v Ferrari</a> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2634515969/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Midway</a> over the two weeks leading up to release and outpacing Hanks&#039;s 2015 thriller <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1313506817/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Bridge of Spies</a>. As for our forecast, we&#039;re looking for a <b>$17+ million</b> performance and won&#039;t be surprised if it outperforms that total and plays well into the holiday season.<br/><br/>In fourth we come to STX&#039;s action-thriller <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2886174209/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">21 Bridges</a> starring <b>Chadwick Boseman</b>, which will open in 2,665 locations this weekend with tracking suggesting a debut in the low to mid teens, but we&#039;re having a hard time justifying that number. A look at IMDb page views shows the film pacing behind the likes of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1761969665/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Mile 22</a>, <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3154150913/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Den of Thieves</a> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1358988801/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Foreigner</a>, all three are action films released by STX over the last couple of years and all three debuted anywhere from $13-15 million with similar page view trends when looking at IMDb data so the fact <b>21 Bridges</b> is pacing so far behind is concerning. On average, we&#039;d expect a film similar to this one to open right around $13-14 million, so tracking makes sense, but we&#039;re lowering our expectations based on what we&#039;re seeing and projecting a performance around <b>$10 million</b>.<br/><br/>Rounding out the top five is Paramount&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl604603905/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Playing with Fire</a>, which we expect to dip around -45% this weekend for a <b>$4.5 million</b> three-day for a domestic cume approaching $32 million by the end of the weekend.<br/><br/>In limited release, Focus will debut <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2047575553/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Dark Waters</a> in two locations in New York and Los Angeles each before expanding further next weekend and going nationwide on December 6.<br/><br/>This weekend&#039;s forecast is directly below. This post will be updated on Friday morning with Thursday night preview results followed by Friday estimates on Saturday morning, and a complete weekend recap on Sunday morning.<br/><br/><ul class="a-unordered-list a-nostyle a-vertical"><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Frozen II</b> (4,440 theaters) - $120.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Ford v Ferrari</b> (3,528 theaters) - $18.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood</b> (3,235 theaters) - $17.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>21 Bridges</b> (2,665 theaters) - $9.7 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Playing with Fire</b> (2,760 theaters) - $4.5 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Midway</b> (2,627 theaters) - $4.4 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Charlie&#039;s Angels</b> (3,452 theaters) - $4.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Joker</b> (1,410 theaters) - $3.7 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Last Christmas</b> (2,411 theaters) - $3.1 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>The Good Liar</b> (2,454 theaters) - $2.8 M</span></li></ul><br/><br/><i>Discuss this story with fellow <b>Box Office Mojo</b> fans on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.facebook.com/BoxOfficeMojo/">Facebook</a>. On Twitter, follow us at <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://twitter.com/#!/boxofficemojo">@boxofficemojo</a>.</i> Brad Brevet <mail@boxofficemojo.com> Fri, 22 Nov 2019 03:35:05 +0000https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3312452612/ 'Ford v Ferrari' Races to #1 While 'Joker' Becomes First R-Rated Film to Ever Top $1 Billion Globally https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed4017095684/?ref_=bo_nr_rss_2 Fox&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl990348801/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Ford v Ferrari</a> more than lived up to the most aggressive of pre-weekend expectations, delivering a #1 performance at the domestic weekend box office. However, Sony&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1476625921/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Charlie&#039;s Angels</a> struggled mightily in its debut, failing to reach the lowest of expectations, which means the film&#039;s third place finish puts the weekend&#039;s overall performance into perspective. In better news, WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl252151297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Joker</a> became the fourth DC Comics adaptation to ever top $1 billion at the global box office and the first R-rated movie to ever reach that milestone.<br/><br/>Finishing in the winner&#039;s circle atop the weekend box office, is Fox&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl990348801/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Ford v Ferrari</a> with an estimated <b>$31 million</b>. The performance is well ahead of Mojo&#039;s pre-weekend forecast and even tops the most optimistic of industry expectations and comes with an outstanding &#034;A+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a>. The film played to a male-dominated crowd with men making up 62% of the audience and 79% of the overall crowd coming in aged 25 or older.<br/><br/>Internationally, <b>Ford v Ferrari</b> brought in $21.4 million from 41 markets for a $52 million global debut, enjoying #1 openings in several including Russia, which serves as the film&#039;s top international market with a $3.2 million debut. Additional openings include the UK (<b>$2.3m</b>), France (<b>$2.3m</b>), Australia (<b>$1.7m</b>), Italy (<b>$1.3m</b>), Mexico (<b>$1.1m</b>) and Germany (<b>$1.0m</b>). Upcoming releases include a December 5 release in Korea followed by Japan on January 10.<br/><br/>Lionsgate&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2634515969/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Midway</a> slipped to second this weekend, dipping -51% with an estimated <b>$8.75 million</b> for a domestic cume that now tops $35 million after ten days in release. The film&#039;s position in the top ten, however, is a tight one as two more films have a chance of moving up the list once actuals come in tomorrow.<br/><br/><figure class="importance-minor"> <img src="https://m.media-amazon.com/images/M/MV5BNWNjMDczYmItNWM5OS00ODY3LWI0Y2MtODJmZTcxNGE4NDg3XkEyXkFqcGdeQXVyMTA1MDEwNzM3._V1_UY250_.jpg"> <figcaption><span class="a-size-small">Sony Pictures</span></figcaption> </figure> First in line, competing for second place, is Sony&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1476625921/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Charlie&#039;s Angels</a>, which was expected to finish anywhere from $12-13 million this weekend, but was ultimately unable to hit double digits, delivering a disappointing <b>$8.6 million</b> debut. The $48 million production received a &#034;B&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening weekend audiences, which were 61% female with 55% of the overall audience coming in aged 25 or older.<br/><br/>Internationally, <b>Angels</b> began its overseas play in 26 markets with an estimated $19.3 million, including a $7.7 million opening in China. The film also brought in $1.3 million with a second place finish in Australia and another $1 million from Russia. Upcoming releases including a November 29 release in the UK followed by Spain (<b>Dec 5</b>), France (<b>Dec 25</b>), Mexico (<b>Jan 1</b>), Germany (<b>Jan 2</b>), Italy (<b>Jan 9</b>), Japan (<b>Jan 21</b>) and South Korea (<b>Feb 26</b>). Overall, the film is looking at a disappointing, $27.9 million global debut.<br/><br/>Paramount&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl604603905/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Playing with Fire</a>, holding on extremely well in its sophomore frame, dipped just -33% for an estimated <b>$8.55 million</b>, moving the film up one spot from its opening last weekend, though once actuals come in it could move up a bit more. The film&#039;s domestic cume now stands at $25.4 million as the studio appears to have a small family hit on their hands.<br/><br/>Internationally, <b>Playing with Fire</b> maintained its release in the same 11 markets from last weekend and added another $1.3 million for an overseas cume that now stands at $4.5 million. The film will open in Australia in mid-December followed by releases in the UK (Dec 27), Spain (Jan 17), Brazil (Jan 23) and Germany and Russia in early February.<br/><br/>Rounding out the top five is Universal&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl705070593/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Last Christmas</a> with an estimated <b>$6.7 million</b>, pushing the film&#039;s domestic cume to $22.6 million after ten days in release. Internationally the film added $8.6 million for a $13 million overseas cume and a global total that now stands at $35.5 million.<br/><br/>Further down the list, WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl201754113/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Good Liar</a> debuted in 2,439 locations and delivered on expectations with an estimated <b>$5.65 million</b>, The film received a &#034;B&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> while playing to a crowd that was 60% female with 85% of the overall crowd coming in aged 35 or older. Internationally, the film began playing overseas last weekend and is now playing in 12 markets where it grossed an estimated $1.5 million for an international cume that now stands at $3.9 million for a worldwide total reaching $9.6 million.<br/><br/><figure class="importance-major"> <img src="https://m.media-amazon.com/images/M/MV5BODJmZTI4MmMtMTc5Mi00OTZlLWFiNDItMTNlZjQyMzUxMmQyXkEyXkFqcGdeQXVyMTkxNjUyNQ@@._V1_UX700_.jpg"> <figcaption><span class="a-size-small">Warner Bros.</span></figcaption> </figure> In eighth position is where WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl252151297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Joker</a> finished this weekend at the domestic box office, adding another $5.6 million to its now $322.6 million domestic cume. However, it&#039;s the film&#039;s global performance that is making news this weekend as the film became only the fourth DC Comics adaptation, the <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/world/2019/?ref_=bo_nb_we_tab&amp;ref_=bo_nr_rss">seventh release of 2019</a> and the first ever R-rated movie to top the $1 billion mark. Equally impressive is the Joker is only the third movie ever to top $1 billion without a China release, the other two being fellow DC adaptation <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3729098241/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Dark Knight</a> and 2006&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4083713537/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man&#039;s Chest</a>.<br/><br/>Overall, to go along with its $322.6 million domestically, <b>Joker</b> added $13 million this weekend internationally for an overseas cume totaling $694 million and a global tally reaching $1.017 billion. The performance currently places the film <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/chart/ww_top_lifetime_gross/?area=XWW&amp;ref_=bo_cso_ac&amp;ref_=bo_nr_rss">43d all-time at the worldwide box office</a>, just ahead of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3729098241/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Dark Knight</a> ($1.004b).<br/><br/>In limited release, A24&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl51086849/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Waves</a> delivered an estimated <b>$144,562</b> for a chart-topping, $36,140 per theater average. The film will open in top markets this coming weekend and continue to rollout slowly into the holiday season. Additionally, Roadside debuted <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl738952705/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Warrior Queen of Jhansi</a> in 276 locations with an estimated <b>$125,395</b> ($454 PTA) and Utopia&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3366158849/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Mickey and the Bear</a> opened in one theater with an estimated <b>$9,523</b>.<br/><br/>Next weekend will see Disney&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2424210945/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Frozen II</a> explode into over 4,200 theaters alongside Sony&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2651096577/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood</a> in 3,100 locations and STX&#039;s action thriller <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2886174209/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">21 Bridges</a>, debuting in ~2,700 theaters.<br/><br/>You can check out all of this weekend&#039;s estimated results <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/2019W46/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>right here</b></a> and we&#039;ll be updating our charts with weekend actuals on Monday afternoon. <br/><br/><i>Discuss this story with fellow <b>Box Office Mojo</b> fans on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.facebook.com/BoxOfficeMojo/">Facebook</a>. On Twitter, follow us at <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://twitter.com/#!/boxofficemojo">@boxofficemojo</a>.</i> Brad Brevet <mail@boxofficemojo.com> Sun, 17 Nov 2019 17:23:20 +0000https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed4017095684/ 'Ford v Ferrari' Racing Toward $30 Million Debut, 'Charlie's Angels' Far from Heavenly https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3765437444/?ref_=bo_nr_rss_3 <b>SATURDAY AM UPDATE:</b> Fox&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl990348801/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Ford v Ferrari</a> is living up to tracking expectations, out performing Mojo&#039;s pre-weekend forecast after bringing in an estimated <b>$10.9 million</b> on Friday, racing toward a $30 million three-day weekend. On top of that, while we knew critics already liked the film, opening day audiences gave it an impressive &#034;A+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a>, boding well for the rest of the weekend and beyond.<br/><br/>Sony&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1476625921/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Charlie&#039;s Angels</a>, however, isn&#039;t living up even to the most modest of pre-weekend expectations, bringing in just <b>$3.15 million</b> on Friday, looking at a three-day weekend around $8 million. The film received a &#034;B+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences.<br/><br/>WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl201754113/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Good Liar</a> brought in an estimated <b>$1.635 million</b> on Friday and is heading toward a three-day performance around $5 million. The film received a &#034;B&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences.<br/><br/>You can check out all of the Friday estimates <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/date/2019-11-15/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>right here</b></a> and we&#039;ll be back tomorrow morning with a complete look at the weekend.<br/><br/><b>FRIDAY AM UPDATE:</b> Fox&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl990348801/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Ford v Ferrari</a> brought in a solid <b>$2.1 million</b> from Thursday evening previews. A look at some of our pre-weekend comps shows <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1107330561/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">First Man</a> bringing in $1.1 million in previews ahead of a $16 million opening, <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3427567105/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Deepwater Horizon</a> only brought in $860k in previews in advance of a $20.2 million debut and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2634515969/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Midway</a> delivered $925k in previews ahead of its $17.9 million opening. All comps point to a three-day performance ahead of Mojo&#039;s forecast.<br/><br/>Additionally, Sony&#039;s release of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1476625921/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Charlie&#039;s Angels</a> took in $900k from Thursday showings which began at 4:30PM in 2,968 locations. The performance trails one of our pre-weekend comps, 2017&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1348240897/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">King Arthur</a>, which brought in $1.15 million in previews ahead of a $15.3 million opening. The studio is still projecting a $12-13 million opening for the film. <br/><br/>We&#039;ll take a closer look at things tomorrow morning once Friday estimates come in. For now you can check out our weekend preview below.<br/><br/><b>WEEKEND PREVIEW:</b> Last weekend saw the top ten deliver the lowest combined total for <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/by-week/?sort=top10Gross&amp;ref_=bo_wew__resort&amp;ref_=bo_nr_rss">the same weekend since 2007</a>, bringing in just over $100 million. This weekend, should our forecast hold, we&#039;ll be looking at a sub-$100 million weekend for the top ten and what could be one of the worst weekends of the year. Among the week&#039;s new releases, Fox&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl990348801/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Ford v Ferrari</a> hopes to prove there is still an audience for adult-targeted, larger budget features alongside the release of Sony&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1476625921/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Charlie&#039;s Angels</a> and WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl201754113/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Good Liar</a>.<br/><br/>At number one, look for Fox&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl990348801/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Ford v Ferrari</a> to pull into the winner&#039;s circle. A few months before Disney&#039;s acquisition of Fox was final, the decision was made to move director <b>James Mangold</b>&#039;s story of Ford&#039;s attempt to challenge Ferrari at the 24 Hours of Le Mans in 1966 from a summer release to a more awards-friendly Fall release. The film has since played at a multitude of film festivals, including Telluride and Toronto, and received a positive critical response &amp;mdash; 91% on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/ford_v_ferrari/">RottenTomatoes</a> and 76 on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.metacritic.com/movie/ford-v-ferrari">Metacritic</a>. The film will debut in 3,528 locations this weekend and the studio is going onservative with their expectations, anticipating an opening in the high-teens while industry expectations are looking for a debut in the $21-30 million range.<br/><br/>From our perspective, while we would like to go along with industry expectations, a lot of what we&#039;re seeing suggests an opening closer to $20 million may be more likely. A look at IMDb page views leading up to release show <b>Ford v Ferrari</b> outpacing last weekend&#039;s surprise #1 finisher, <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2634515969/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Midway</a> ($17.9m opening) while pacing just behind the likes of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1107330561/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">First Man</a> ($16m opening) and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3427567105/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Deepwater Horizon</a> ($20.2m opening). Comps to films such as <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3581707777/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Sully</a> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1883801089/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Captain Phillips</a> show <b>Ford v Ferrari</b> in the rearview, though not so far behind as to suggest it can&#039;t finish a bit higher. As a result, we&#039;re going out a bit higher than studio expectations and on the lighter end of industry tracking, looking for a <b>$22 million</b> opening for the reported, $98 million production.<br/><br/><figure class="importance-minor"> <img src="https://m.media-amazon.com/images/M/MV5BZDAxYmI2ZDktMTE4Mi00Y2YwLWI2YTUtZDA0NzA2N2NjNjNiXkEyXkFqcGdeQXVyMTkxNjUyNQ@@._V1_UY250_.jpg"> <figcaption><span class="a-size-small">Sony</span></figcaption> </figure> In the runner-up position is Sony&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1476625921/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Charlie&#039;s Angels</a>, serving as the third time the television franchise has been brought to the big screen following the pair of films released in <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl608929281/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">2000</a> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl793478657/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">2003</a>. From writer/director/star <b>Elizabeth Banks</b>, the film will launch in over 3,400 theaters, including IMAX and PLF performances, and the studio is anticipating a three-day opening anywhere from $12-13 million, which mostly lines up with our expectations with some room for upside.<br/><br/>IMDb page view data over the two weeks leading up to release shows <b>Angels</b> pacing similarly to 2017&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1348240897/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">King Arthur</a>, which launched with $15.3 million and while it is pacing behind films such as <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4211181057/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Dark Phoenix</a> and 2016&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2759165441/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Tarzan</a>, it&#039;s not so far behind as to say there isn&#039;t a chance for this one to top $15 million this weekend. For now we&#039;re going out with a <b>$13 million</b> forecast, hoping to know a bit more tomorrow following this evening&#039;s previews, which begin at 4:30PM in over 2,700 locations.<br/><br/>Lionsgate&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2634515969/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Midway</a> surprised most everyone last weekend with its #1 finish, though whether that surprise was due more to its success or the failure of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4244932097/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Doctor Sleep</a> to live up to expectations is up for debate. After taking advantage of the Veteran&#039;s Day holiday on Monday, the film has delivered over $25 million so far and we&#039;re looking for it to add another <b>$8.6 million</b> over the three-day, for a domestic cume around $35 million by the end of the weekend.<br/><br/>Paramount&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl604603905/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Playing with Fire</a> also over performed last weekend and should continue to serve its target audience this weekend as we expect it to bring in another <b>$7 million</b> over the three-day, pushing its domestic cume close to $24 million after ten days in release.<br/><br/>Rounding out the top five we have WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4244932097/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Doctor Sleep</a>, which struggled mightily last weekend. The film did, however, appeal to those that saw it, earning a solid (given its genre) &#034;B+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a>. This has us expecting a slightly better hold than what we might otherwise expect, going into the weekend anticipating a <b>$6.8 million</b> three-day and a domestic cume over $25 million by the end of the weekend.<br/><br/>Just outside the top five we find WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl252151297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Joker</a>, which should see its domestic cume climb near $323 million this weekend, but even more to the studio&#039;s liking, it will top $1 billion at the global box office by the end of the weekend. As far as DC Comics adaptations go, <b>Joker</b> will be only the fourth to have ever topped $1 billion globally, joining <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3108800001/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Aquaman</a> ($1.148b), <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3745875457/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Dark Knight Rises</a> ($1.084b) and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3729098241/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Dark Knight</a> ($1.003b).<br/><br/>A bit further down the list we come to yet another WB film, this time the dramatic thriller <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl201754113/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Good Liar</a> starring <b>Helen Mirren</b> and <b>Ian McKellen</b>. Debuting in 2,439 locations, studio expectations for the film are for a $5 million opening, which is right around where we are, though we&#039;re going just a notch higher, anticipating a <b>$6 million</b> launch.<br/><br/>In limited release, Roadside will debut <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl738952705/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Warrior Queen of Jhansi</a> in 2476 theaters and A24 will open <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl51086849/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Waves</a> in four locations. Meanwhile, Amazon Studios&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl168330753/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Honey Boy</a> adds 14 locations, playing in a total of 17 after delivering a <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/2019W45/?sort=perTheaterAverageGross&amp;ref_=bo_we__resort&amp;ref_=bo_nr_rss#table">chart-topping</a> $75,266 per theater average last weekend.<br/><br/>This weekend&#039;s forecast is directly below. This post will be updated on Friday morning with Thursday night preview results followed by Friday estimates on Saturday morning, and a complete weekend recap on Sunday morning.<br/><br/><ul class="a-unordered-list a-nostyle a-vertical"><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Ford v Ferrari</b> (3,528 theaters) - $22.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Charlie&#039;s Angels</b> (3,452 theaters) - $13.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Midway</b> (3,242 theaters) - $8.5 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Playing with Fire</b> (3,185 theaters) - $7.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Doctor Sleep</b> (3,855 theaters) - $6.8 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Joker</b> (2,337 theaters) - $6.2 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Last Christmas</b> (3,454 theaters) - $6.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>The Good Liar</b> (2,439 theaters) - $6.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Maleficent: Mistress of Evil</b> (2,549 theaters) - $4.9 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Terminator: Dark Fate</b> (2,477 theaters) - $4.9 M</span></li></ul><br/><br/><i>Discuss this story with fellow <b>Box Office Mojo</b> fans on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.facebook.com/BoxOfficeMojo/">Facebook</a>. On Twitter, follow us at <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://twitter.com/#!/boxofficemojo">@boxofficemojo</a>.</i> Brad Brevet <mail@boxofficemojo.com> Thu, 14 Nov 2019 22:35:29 +0000https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3765437444/ 'Midway' Scores Surprise #1 Finish as 'Doctor Sleep' is Caught Napping https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3782214660/?ref_=bo_nr_rss_4 Heading into the weekend we were anticipating a top ten that would deliver around $110 million, as it turns out the top ten currently falls just short of a combined $100 million as Lionsgate&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2634515969/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Midway</a> delivered a surprise #1 finish, topping WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4244932097/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Doctor Sleep</a>, which slipped to second and well below expectations. Paramount&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl604603905/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Playing with Fire</a> joined <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2634515969/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Midway</a> in outperforming expectations while Universal&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl705070593/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Last Christmas</a> fell below Mojo&#039;s forecast, but well within studio expectations.<br/><br/>At the top of the weekend box office is Lionsgate&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2634515969/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Midway</a>, finishing ahead of expectations with an estimated <b>$17.5 million</b> from 3,242 locations. The film also scored an &#034;A&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences and should expect a strong performance over Veteran&#039;s Day tomorrow that should push the film&#039;s four-day gross over $20 million. Overall, the opening weekend audience skewed male and older with males making up 60% of the audience and 87% of the overall audience coming in aged 25 and older.<br/><br/><figure class="importance-minor"> <img src="https://m.media-amazon.com/images/M/MV5BZjM0ZjA3ZGMtMWNhYi00NTUwLTkxMWUtNTEwYThmYmNhN2Q0XkEyXkFqcGdeQXVyMTkxNjUyNQ@@._V1_UY250_.jpg"> <figcaption><span class="a-size-small">Warner Bros.</span></figcaption> </figure> Finishing in second is Warner Bros.&#039;s release of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4244932097/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Doctor Sleep</a>, which was expected to deliver at least $25 million this weekend, but could only manage just a bit over half that number, finishing with an estimated <b>$14.1 million</b> from 3,855 locations. The film did score a &#034;B+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences, which is solid for a genre film, but that wasn&#039;t enough to turn the weekend around. Opening weekend crowds were 57% male and 74% of the overall audience was aged 25 or older. Compared to <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl0361985/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Pet Sematary</a>, which opened with $24.5 million earlier this year, <b>Doctor Sleep</b> played to a crowd that was older and leaned a bit more male, suggesting ties to <b>Stanley Kubrick</b>&#039;s nearly 40-year-old adaptation of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3312354817/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Shining</a> didn&#039;t work in the film&#039;s favor.<br/><br/>Internationally, after opening in a handful of markets last weekend, <b>Doctor Sleep</b> is now playing in 68 overseas markets and delivered an estimated $13 million this weekend for an overseas cume that now stands at $20 million. This weekend saw the film open in Russia with an estimated $2 million followed by Mexico ($1.5m) and Brazil ($577k). The film will open in Germany next week followed by a November 29 opening in Japan.<br/><br/>Paramount&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl604603905/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Playing with Fire</a> scored a third place finish with an estimated <b>$12.8 million</b>, topping expectations which saw the film finishing with $10 million at the most. The film scored a &#034;B+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences. The weekend&#039;s audience was 51% male with families making up 61% of the crowd. Internationally the film opened in ten markets with $2.5 million led by a $1.1 million opening in Mexico.<br/><br/>Universal&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl705070593/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Last Christmas</a> slipped to fourth with an estimated <b>$11.6 million</b>, which is well within expectation, but a bit lower than Mojo&#039;s forecast heading into the weekend. The film scored a &#034;B-&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> and played to an opening weekend crowd that was 65% female and 65% of the overall audience was aged 25 or older. While the performance is a bit light, it could very easily deliver a solid overall performance over the weeks ahead, playing throughout the holiday season.<br/><br/>Internationally, <b>Last Christmas</b> opened in ten markets with an estimated $3.1 million, half of which came from Australia where it debuted with an estimated $1.58 million. Looking ahead the film will open in Germany and the UK next weekend followed by openings in France (Nov 27), Brazil (Nov 28), Spain (Nov 29), Russia (Dec 5), Korea (Dec 5), Mexico (Dec 6), Japan (Dec 6) and Italy (Dec 19).<br/><br/>Rounding out the top five is Paramount&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3103950337/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator: Dark Fate</a> with an estimated <b>$10.8 million</b>, dipping -63% following last weekend&#039;s disappointing opening as the film&#039;s domestic cume now stands at $48.45 million after ten days in release, already pacing well behind <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3447031297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator Genisys</a>, which topped $59 million after its first ten days domestically. Internationally, the film added another $29.9 million this weekend for an overseas cume that now totals over $150 million and a global cume that is just shy of $200 million. This weekend the film debuted in Japan where it brought in an estimated $6 million as China still leads all overseas markets with nearly $45 million.<br/><br/><figure class="importance-major"> <img src="https://m.media-amazon.com/images/M/MV5BODJmZTI4MmMtMTc5Mi00OTZlLWFiNDItMTNlZjQyMzUxMmQyXkEyXkFqcGdeQXVyMTkxNjUyNQ@@._V1_UX700_.jpg"> <figcaption><span class="a-size-small">Warner Bros.</span></figcaption> </figure> Falling outside of the top five for the first time since release, WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl252151297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Joker</a> added another <b>$9.2 million</b> this weekend for a domestic cume that now stands at $313.5 million. Internationally it added another $20.3 million for an overseas cume that now stands at $671.2 million as it is now just over $15 million shy of reaching the billion dollar mark worldwide with a <b>$984.7 million</b> global cume. Once it reaches that billion dollar mark it will serve as only the fourth DC Comics adaptation to do so joining <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3108800001/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Aquaman</a> ($1.148b), <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3745875457/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Dark Knight Rises</a> ($1.84b) and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3729098241/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Dark Knight</a> ($1.003b).<br/><br/>Currently finishing just outside the top ten based on estimates is Fox Searchlight&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2030601729/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Jojo Rabbit</a>, which expanded nationwide into 802 theaters this weekend and finished with an estimated <b>$3.9 million</b> ($4,862 PTA). The film&#039;s domestic cume now tops $9 million domestically. The film will expand slightly next weekend, looking to continue its strong run in moderate release.<br/><br/>In limited release, Amazon Studios&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl168330753/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Honey Boy</a> opened in four locations this weekend with an estimated <b>$288,825</b> for a chart-topping $72,206 per theater average. The film will expand further next week, reaching the top 15 markets over the next two weekends before a nationwide expansion timed to the announcement of Golden Globe nominations in early December.<br/><br/>Additional limited releases include Greenwich&#039;s debut of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2567669249/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Kingmaker</a> in two locations with an estimated <b>$23,600</b> and Cohen Media&#039;s re-release of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl111182337/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">A Fish in the Bathtub</a> opened with <b>$1,826</b> from three locations.<br/><br/>Next weekend sees the release of Fox&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl990348801/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Ford v Ferrari</a> in 3,500 theaters, Sony will debut the latest adaptation of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1476625921/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Charlie&#039;s Angels</a> into ~3,300 theaters; and WB will release New Line&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl201754113/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Good Liar</a> into over 2,500 locations.<br/><br/>You can check out all of this weekend&#039;s estimated results <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/2019W45/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>right here</b></a> and we&#039;ll be updating our charts with weekend actuals on Monday afternoon. <br/><br/><i>Discuss this story with fellow <b>Box Office Mojo</b> fans on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.facebook.com/BoxOfficeMojo/">Facebook</a>. On Twitter, follow us at <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://twitter.com/#!/boxofficemojo">@boxofficemojo</a>.</i> Brad Brevet <mail@boxofficemojo.com> Sun, 10 Nov 2019 17:44:56 +0000https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3782214660/ 'Midway' Set for #1 Finish as It Catches 'Doctor Sleep' Napping https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3798991876/?ref_=bo_nr_rss_5 <b>SATURDAY AM UPDATE:</b> Lionsgate&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2634515969/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Midway</a> is the surprise of the weekend, bringing in an estimated <b>$6.34 million</b> on Friday and looking to finish #1 for the weekend with a three-day that could reach $18 million, well ahead of expectations. The film also earned an &#034;A&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences, which suggests word of mouth throughout the weekend could carry it even higher.<br/><br/>In the runner up position is WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4244932097/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Doctor Sleep</a>, which has failed to wake up audiences. The film scored a disappointing <b>$5.2 million</b> on Friday and is now hoping to top $12 million for the three-day, falling well below expectations. Opening day audiences did give the film a &#034;B+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a>, which is pretty good for a genre feature, but it seems to have failed to generate enough enthusiasm to take advantage of any kind of positive word of mouth.<br/><br/>Universal&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl705070593/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Last Christmas</a> is delivering on expectations (though a bit below Mojo&#039;s forecast), bringing in an estimated <b>$4 million</b> on Friday and looking at a $12 million three-day. The film received a &#034;B-&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences.<br/><br/>Paramount&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl604603905/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Playing with Fire</a> is looking at a fourth place finish after an estimated <b>$3.55 million</b> on Friday, looking at a three-day around $11+ million. The family comedy received a &#034;B+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences.<br/><br/>You can check out all of the Friday estimates <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/date/2019-11-08/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>right here</b></a> and we&#039;ll be back tomorrow morning with a complete look at the weekend.<br/><br/><figure class="importance-minor"> <img src="https://m.media-amazon.com/images/M/MV5BNWIyMThmMmYtMTYyMy00ZGU1LWFjOTAtNWYxOGM4Y2IxY2NlXkEyXkFqcGdeQXVyODQxMTI4MjM@._V1_UY250_.jpg"> <figcaption><span class="a-size-small">Warner Bros.</span></figcaption> </figure> <b>FRIDAY AM UPDATE:</b> WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4244932097/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Doctor Sleep</a> won the preview race last night, bringing in an estimated <b>$1.5 million</b> from evening previews beginning at 6PM. However, that is well behind the $2.3 million in previews for <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl0361985/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Pet Sematary</a> earlier this year, ahead of a $24.5 million opening. We&#039;ll see just how that ends up shaking out as the weekend rolls on.<br/><br/>Lionsgate&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2634515969/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Midway</a> took in a solid <b>$925,000</b> from preview showings in over 2,600 locations. The performance is ahead of $900k in previews for <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2701166081/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">12 Strong</a> and tops the $750k in previews for <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl780043777/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Hacksaw Ridge</a>.<br/><br/>Universal&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl705070593/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Last Christmas</a> brought in <b>$575,000</b> in previews last night from 2,700 theaters, which is a bit lighter than we would have expected, coming in well behind the $1.25 million in previews for <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1392805377/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Yesterday</a>.<br/><br/>We are still waiting on results for <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl604603905/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Playing with Fire</a>, which held previews beginning at 4PM yesterday.<br/><br/>We&#039;ll take a closer look at things tomorrow morning once Friday estimates come in. For now you can check out our weekend preview below.<br/><br/><b>WEEKEND PREVIEW:</b> For the second straight weekend, four new wide releases make their way into theaters with Warner Bros. looking to lead the way with the latest Stephen King adaptation, <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4244932097/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Doctor Sleep</a>. Also debuting this weekend is Universal&#039;s holiday-themed romantic comedy <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl705070593/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Last Christmas</a>, Lionsgate&#039;s World War II actioner <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2634515969/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Midway</a> and Fox&#039;s family comedy <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl604603905/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Playing with Fire</a>. Additionally, both Neon&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1258849793/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Parasite</a> and Fox Searchlight&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2030601729/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Jojo Rabbit</a> expand nationwide this weekend.<br/><br/>At the top is where we expect to find WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4244932097/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Doctor Sleep</a>, hitting theaters nearly 40 years after Stanley Kubrick&#039;s filmed adaptation of Stephen King&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3312354817/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Shining</a>. Directed by <b>Mike Flanagan</b> (<a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4621825/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Ouija: Origin of Evil</a>) and starring <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://pro.imdb.com/name/nm0000191/?ref_=mojo_nr_rss&amp;rf=mojo_nr_rss">Ewan McGregor</a> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://pro.imdb.com/name/nm0272581/?ref_=mojo_nr_rss&amp;rf=mojo_nr_rss">Rebecca Ferguson</a>, the film debuts in 3,855 locations this weekend with the studio anticipating a debut around $25 million. This puts the film on course for an opening similar to <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl0361985/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Pet Sematary</a>, which debuted with $24.5 million back in April and a look at IMDb page view data leading up to release does more than support such an expectation. In fact, <b>Doctor Sleep</b> is outpacing <b>Pet Sematary</b> over the two weeks leading up to release suggesting a performance nearing $30 million isn&#039;t at all out of the realm of expectation. We&#039;re going out with a <b>$27 million</b> forecast, and should that hold it would be the <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://pro.imdb.com/boxoffice/brand/bn3631413762/?ref_=mojo_nr_rss">third largest opening ever for a King adaptation</a> behind only <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3481241089/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">It</a> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1107461633/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">It Chapter Two</a>.<br/><br/><figure class="importance-minor"> <img src="https://m.media-amazon.com/images/M/MV5BOTliYmNjMzctYTZjNS00NjE4LWFmOGQtMDlmNDc1ZDg3ZDExXkEyXkFqcGdeQXVyMzkwNzI1NTU@._V1_UY250_.jpg"> <figcaption><span class="a-size-small">Universal Pictures</span></figcaption> </figure> Look for Universal&#039;s romantic comedy <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl705070593/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Last Christmas</a> with <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://pro.imdb.com/name/nm3592338/?ref_=mojo_nr_rss&amp;rf=mojo_nr_rss">Emilia Clarke</a> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://pro.imdb.com/name/nm6525901/?ref_=mojo_nr_rss&amp;rf=mojo_nr_rss">Henry Golding</a> to finish in the runner-up position as it debuts in 3,448 locations. The studio is targeting a debut over $10 million while industry expectations are a bit more specific, anticipating an opening anywhere from $12-15 million. We&#039;re currently looking for an opening around <b>$15 million</b> with potential for upside with the film outperforming comps such as <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1392805377/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Yesterday</a> ($17m opening) and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4115105281/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Blended</a> ($14.3m opening) when looking at IMDb page views over the two weeks leading up to release.<br/><br/>Paramount&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3103950337/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator: Dark Fate</a> is looking at a second weekend drop around -54% or so, which is a bit steeper than the -49% drop for <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3447031297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator Genisys</a> following a similar opening, but <b>Genisys</b> was playing over the summer and didn&#039;t have new competition akin to <b>Doctor Sleep</b>. That said, we&#039;re expecting a <b>$13+ million</b> second weekend for a domestic cume topping $51 million by the end of the weekend.<br/><br/>Lionsgate&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2634515969/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Midway</a> looks to pull into fourth with industry tracking services anticipating a debut around $12-14 million for the <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://pro.imdb.com/name/nm0000386/?ref_=mojo_nr_rss&amp;rf=mojo_nr_rss">Roland Emmerich</a> picture. We&#039;ve been looking at comps such as <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2169865729/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Geostorm</a> ($13.7m opening), <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3965093377/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">In the Heart of the Sea</a> ($11m opening) and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2701166081/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">12 Strong</a> ($15.8m opening) and IMDb page view data shows <b>Midway</b> is pacing similar to all three, suggesting a debut from $11-16 million is possible, though we&#039;re remaining in the middle range, going out with a <b>$13 million</b> forecast.<br/><br/>Look for WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl252151297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Joker</a> to enjoy it&#039;s sixth straight weekend in the top five, rounding things out with a drop around -37% or so for an <b>$8.5 million</b> three-day and a domestic cume topping $312 million.<br/><br/>Just outside the top five we have Paramount&#039;s family comedy <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl604603905/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Playing with Fire</a>, which will open in 3,125 locations. The film is getting beat up by critics, resulting in a score of 13 on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.metacritic.com/movie/playing-with-fire-2019">Metacritic</a> and a 29% on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/playing_with_fire_2019/">RottenTomatoes</a>. Industry expectations are anywhere from $7-10 million for the weekend and we&#039;re at the bottom of that range. The best comp we&#039;ve found using IMDb page view performance data over the two weeks leading up to release is <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2675738113/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life</a>, which opened with $6.8 million back in October 2016.<br/><br/>In limited release, Amazon Studios will release <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl168330753/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Honey Boy</a> in four locations and Greenwich will debut <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2567669249/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Kingmaker</a>.<br/><br/>This weekend&#039;s forecast is directly below. This post will be updated on Friday morning with Thursday night preview results followed by Friday estimates on Saturday morning, and a complete weekend recap on Sunday morning.<br/><br/><ul class="a-unordered-list a-nostyle a-vertical"><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Doctor Sleep</b> (3,855 theaters) - $27.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Last Christmas</b> (3,448 theaters) - $15.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Terminator: Dark Fate</b> (4,086 theaters) - $13.4 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Midway</b> (3,242 theaters) - $13.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Joker</b> (2,806 theaters) - $8.5 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Playing with Fire</b> (3,125 theaters) - $8.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Maleficent: Mistress of Evil</b> (3,201 theaters) - $7.9 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Harriet</b> (2,186 theaters) - $7.3 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>The Addams Family</b> (2,674 theaters) - $5.1 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Zombieland 2: Double Tap</b> (2,427 theaters) - $4.5 M</span></li></ul><br/><br/><i>Discuss this story with fellow <b>Box Office Mojo</b> fans on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.facebook.com/BoxOfficeMojo/">Facebook</a>. On Twitter, follow us at <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://twitter.com/#!/boxofficemojo">@boxofficemojo</a>.</i> Brad Brevet <mail@boxofficemojo.com> Thu, 07 Nov 2019 22:05:12 +0000https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3798991876/ 'Terminator: Dark Fate' Tops Weekend with Soft $29M Debut; 'Harriet' Strong with $11.6M Opening https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3815769092/?ref_=bo_nr_rss_6 Paramount&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3103950337/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator: Dark Fate</a> was able to score the weekend&#039;s #1 spot, but it came in well below expectations, calling into question the fate of the <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://pro.imdb.com/boxoffice/franchise/fr3175583493/?ref_=bo_frs_table_46&amp;ref_=mojo_nr_rss"><b>Terminator</b> franchise</a> once again. Meanwhile, Focus&#039;s release of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl369657345/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Harriet</a> destroyed expectations, delivering a #4 finish to go along with a strong, &#034;A+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences.<br/><br/><figure class="importance-minor"> <img src="https://m.media-amazon.com/images/M/MV5BNzhlYjE5MjMtZDJmYy00MGZmLTgwN2MtZGM0NTk2ZTczNmU5XkEyXkFqcGdeQXVyMTkxNjUyNQ@@._V1_UY250_.jpg"> <figcaption><span class="a-size-small">Paramount Pictures</span></figcaption> </figure> With <b>$29 million</b>, <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3103950337/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator: Dark Fate</a> topped the weekend box office, but the performance is well behind Mojo&#039;s $38 million forecast not to mention pre-weekend industry expectations that had the film opening with $40+ million. Reviews for the film heading into its opening weren&#039;t too bad &amp;mdash; 69% at <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/terminator_dark_fate/">RottenTomatoes</a> and 54 at <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.metacritic.com/movie/terminator-dark-fate">Metacritic</a> &amp;mdash; while earning a &#034;B+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences. To that point, <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/terminator_dark_fate/#audience_reviews">RottenTomatoes</a> users gave the film an 85% grade, suggesting those that saw it, for the most part, enjoyed what they saw. Unfortunately, it appears there just wasn&#039;t enough interest to begin with. The overall audience was 60% male with 54% coming in under the age of 30.<br/><br/>Internationally, the film brought in nearly $73 million from 48 markets, including a $28 million opening in China. Overall the film&#039;s international cume now stands at $94.6 million for a $123.6 million worldwide cume. China leads the overseas marketplace, where <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://pro.imdb.com/company/co0562497/?ref_=mojo_nr_rss">Tencent</a> is handling distribution, otherwise Disney has international rights with South Korea leading Disney&#039;s markets with $9.8 million followed by the UK ($6.9m), France ($5.8m), Russia ($4.2m), Indonesia ($3.4m), Germany ($3.2m), Mexico ($2.6m), Australia ($2.3m), Thailand ($2.2m) and Malaysia ($2.1m). Next weekend sees openings in Japan along with Norway, Poland, Taiwan and Bolivia.<br/><br/>WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl252151297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Joker</a> landed in second place, dropping just -30% as it kicks off its fifth week in release with <b>$13.5 million</b>, pushing the film&#039;s domestic gross just shy of $300 million. The film now ranks as the <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://pro.imdb.com/boxoffice/brand/bn3664968194/?ref_=mojo_nr_rss">seventh highest grossing domestic release among DC Comics adaptations</a> and will soon begin to challenge <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1145865729/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Suicide Squad</a> ($325.1m), <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2238875137/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice</a> ($330.3m) and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3108800001/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Aquaman</a> ($335.3m) as it continues to move up that chart.<br/><br/>Internationally, <b>Joker</b> brought in $38.8 million from 79 markets, pushing the film&#039;s overseas cume over $637.7 million for a worldwide total that now stands at $936.9 million. The film&#039;s top overseas market remains the UK with $64.1 million followed by Mexico ($41.7m), Japan ($37.5m), Korea ($37.3m), France ($35.7m), Brazil ($33.3m), Germany ($32.9m), Italy ($30.2m), Russia ($28.9m), Spain ($27.3m), Australia ($23.9m) and Indonesia ($13.5m).<br/><br/>Disney&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl939755009/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Maleficent: Mistress of Evil</a> placed third for the weekend, dipping -32% as it enters its third weekend in release with a domestic cume that now tops $85 million. Internationally, <b>Maleficent</b> added another $40.5 million for an overseas cume that now totals $299 million for a global tally topping $383 million.<br/><br/><figure class="importance-major"> <img src="https://m.media-amazon.com/images/M/MV5BZjQwYWVhMTItMWM5Yi00NWIwLTlhZWYtZDNkYTg1Y2RiMTkxXkEyXkFqcGdeQXVyNDg4NjY5OTQ@._V1_UX700_.jpg"> <figcaption><span class="a-size-small">Focus Features</span></figcaption> </figure> In fourth we find the weekend&#039;s second new wide release, the impressive performance from Focus&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl369657345/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Harriet</a>, which opened in 2,059 locations with <b>$11.6 million</b>. The $17 million production received an excellent, &#034;A+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences, which were 62% female and 59% of the overall audience was aged 35 or older. Internationally, the film will debut in the UK on November 22 with other markets rolling out beginning of next year.<br/><br/>Rounding out the top five is UAR&#039;s animated feature <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl101025281/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Addams Family</a> with <b>$8.3 million</b>, pushing its domestic cume to $85 million. Internationally, the film added $26.4 million this weekend for an overseas cume that now totals $44.5 million for a global total nearing $130 million with plenty of markets still yet to release including South Korea (Nov 7), France (Dec 4) and Australia (Dec 5).<br/><br/>Outside the top ten, Warner&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1426687489/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Motherless Brooklyn</a> managed a ninth place finish from 1,342 theaters with <b>$3.5 million</b>. The film played to an audience that was 54% female with 97% of the audience coming in aged 25 or older.<br/><br/>Right behind <b>Motherless Brooklyn</b>, rounding out the top ten, is Entertainment Studios&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl537232897/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Arctic Dogs</a>, which struggled mightily, delivering <b>$2.9 million</b> from 2,844 locations, resulting in a disappointing $1,020 per theater average. The film received a &#034;B-&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences.<br/><br/>Just outside a trio of expanding titles rank eleventh, twelfth and thirteenth beginning with Neon&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1258849793/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Parasite</a>, which added 334 locations for a total of 463 theaters resulting in a <b>$2.5 million</b> three-day bringing the film&#039;s domestic cume to $7.4 million as it begins its fourth week in release. Fox Searchlight&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2030601729/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Jojo Rabbit</a> brought in <b>$2.3 million</b> from 256 locations for a domestic cume that now tops $4.2 million as it enters its third week in release. Then there&#039;s A24&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3305670145/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Lighthouse</a>, which is now playing in 978 theaters (+392) and brought in <b>$1.97 million</b> for a domestic cume just shy of $7 million.<br/><br/>Next weekend sees the release of WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4244932097/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Doctor Sleep</a> in over 3,800 locations; Universal&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl705070593/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Last Christmas</a> will open in 3,300 theaters; Summit&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2634515969/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Midway</a> explodes into 3,000 locations; and Paramount&#039;s family comedy <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl604603905/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Playing with Fire</a> debuts in 2,800 theaters.<br/><br/>You can check out all of this weekend&#039;s estimated results <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/2019W44/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>right here</b></a> and we&#039;ll be updating our charts with weekend actuals on Monday afternoon. <br/><br/><i>Discuss this story with fellow <b>Box Office Mojo</b> fans on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.facebook.com/BoxOfficeMojo/">Facebook</a>. On Twitter, follow us at <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://twitter.com/#!/boxofficemojo">@boxofficemojo</a>.</i> Brad Brevet <mail@boxofficemojo.com> Tue, 05 Nov 2019 18:55:50 +0000https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3815769092/ 'Terminator: Dark Fate' Eyes Disappointing $28M Debut; 'Harriet' Looks at Strong $10.5M+ Debut https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3832546308/?ref_=bo_nr_rss_7 <b>SATURDAY AM UPDATE:</b> Paramount&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3103950337/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator: Dark Fate</a> is looking very soft after an estimated <b>$10.6 million</b> Friday, heading toward a three-day performance that could come up shy of the $27 million debut for 2015&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3447031297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator Genisys</a>. The film received a &#034;B+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences.<br/><br/>Meanwhile, Focus&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl369657345/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Harriet</a> is looking to outperform our forecast after bringing in an estimated <b>$3.9 million</b> on Friday, heading toward a $10.5+ million three-day performance. The film also received an &#034;A+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a>, which could give it some legs over the coming weeks.<br/><br/>As for WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1426687489/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Motherless Brooklyn</a>, it brought in an estimated <b>$1.05 million</b> on Friday and is looking to finish in the top ten, right around $3 million for the three-day.<br/><br/>Entertainment Studios&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl537232897/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Arctic Dogs</a> is struggling mightily, delivering just <b>$700k</b> from 2844 locations and is looking at a $2.5 million opening, and a per theater average around $880 for the weekend. The film received a &#034;B-&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences.<br/><br/>You can check out all of the Friday estimates <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/date/2019-11-01/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>right here</b></a> and we&#039;ll be back tomorrow morning with a complete look at the weekend.<br/><br/><b>FRIDAY AM UPDATE:</b> Paramount&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3103950337/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator: Dark Fate</a> took in <b>$2.35 million</b> from Thursday night previews beginning at 7PM. Given last night was Halloween does suggest comps aren&#039;t necessarily apples-to-apples, but this is just ahead of the $2.3 million in previews for <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3447031297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator Genisys</a>, which opened with $27 million back in 2015. You could also look to <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2370930177/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Ender&#039;s Game</a>, which is the last time a preview night took place on Halloween and it brought in $1.4 million from previews ahead of a $27 million opening.<br/><br/>Additionally, Focus Features&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl369657345/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Harriet</a> brought in <b>$600k</b> from Halloween night previews.<br/><br/>We&#039;ll take a closer look at things tomorrow morning once Friday estimates come in. For now you can check out our weekend preview below.<br/><br/><b>WEEKEND PREVIEW:</b> This weekend, four new films hope to add to the bottom line beginning with <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3103950337/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator: Dark Fate</a>, the latest installment in the <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://pro.imdb.com/boxoffice/franchise/fr3175583493/?ref_=mojo_nr_rss">Terminator franchise</a>, this time with not only <b>Arnold Schwarzenegger</b>, but <b>Linda Hamilton</b>, back in her iconic role as Sarah Connor. Also debuting this weekend is Focus&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl369657345/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Harriet</a>, Entertainment Studios&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl537232897/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Arctic Dogs</a> and WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1426687489/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Motherless Brooklyn</a> while <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3305670145/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Lighthouse</a>, <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2030601729/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Jojo Rabbit</a> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1258849793/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Parasite</a> all continue to expand.<br/><br/>The last installment in the <b>Terminator</b> franchise was 2015&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3447031297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator Genisys</a>, which debuted with a disappointing $27 million and fell just shy of $90 million over the course of its domestic run. The film also torpedoed what was hoped to be the start of a whole new <b>Terminator</b> trilogy, but while those films never came to life, the franchise itself has not yet died. This weekend sees the release of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3103950337/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator: Dark Fate</a>, marking what is now the sixth film in the now 35-year-old franchise. The film will launch in 4,086 locations, serving as the widest release for any <b>Terminator</b> film ever, opening in 328 more theaters than <b>Genisys</b> did. Expectations, however, are remaining muted for now, while some industry source are anticipating an opening anywhere from $41-47 million, Paramount is dialing that back just a bit, looking for a debut in the high $30s to $40 million.<br/><br/>A look at IMDb page view performance over the two weeks leading up to release has us more in line with the studio&#039;s expectations as we&#039;re currently forecasting a debut anywhere from <b>$38-41 million</b>. That said, we have some evidence a debut as high as $47 million is possible. The film is, however, pacing behind the likes of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl444564993/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Blade Runner 2049</a> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2960360961/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Star Trek Beyond</a> heading into release as well as <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3447031297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator Genisys</a>, which has us a little more cautious when it comes to our expectations, though if it can top <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3413476865/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator 3</a>&#039;s $44 million debut, it will serve as the largest domestic opening for a <b>Terminator</b> film ever.<br/><br/>Second and third place looks as if it will once again be a heated battle between <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl939755009/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Maleficent: Mistress of Evil</a> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl252151297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Joker</a>. Last weekend, WB&#039;s <b>Joker</b> was initially believed to be the weekend champ based on estimates, but <b>Maleficent</b> eked ahead once actuals were counted. This weekend we&#039;re looking at another dead heat, expecting both to finish around <b>$12.5 million</b> and we&#039;ll just have to wait and see where things stand once the dust settles. That said, <b>Joker</b> should finish near $297 million domestically this weekend, pushing it ahead of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4034037249/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Man of Steel</a>, becoming the seventh largest <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://pro.imdb.com/boxoffice/brand/bn3664968194/?ref_=mojo_nr_rss">DC Comics adaptation</a> domestically.<br/><br/><figure class="importance-minor"> <img src="https://m.media-amazon.com/images/M/MV5BNmE1Y2JjMDEtZDAyOC00NjFiLWJlNjAtMjA3MDMzZGUxMDViXkEyXkFqcGdeQXVyMTA2MDQ3MTQ3._V1_UY250_.jpg"> <figcaption><span class="a-size-small">Focus Features</span></figcaption> </figure> Fourth is where we expect to find Focus&#039;s release of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl369657345/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Harriet</a>, a look at the life of Harriet Tubman, debuting in 2,086 locations. Industry expectations for the picture are in the range of $7.5-9 million for this weekend and while we see some evidence it could pop a bit higher, for the most part our comps have it closer to <b>$8 million</b> for the weekend. The one film it will be competing with mostly, in terms of audience, is <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2097579521/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Black and Blue</a>, which is in its second weekend, but if we look at that film as a direct comp, IMDb page view data shows <b>Harriet</b> outperforming it over the two weeks leading up to release by a significant margin.<br/><br/>Rounding out the top five is UAR&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl101025281/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Addams Family</a>, which has played well so far and should continue to do so this weekend with families getting in the Halloween mood. We&#039;re anticipating a drop around -37% and a <b>$7.5 million</b> three-day, pushing the film&#039;s domestic cume right around $84 million by the end of the weekend.<br/><br/>Outside the top ten is where we find Entertainment Studios&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl537232897/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Arctic Dogs</a>. Originally the film was expected to launch in over 3,600 locations, but once theaters were announced it&#039;s actually opening in 2,844 this weekend with the studio anticipating a three-day performance around $10 million. Based on the information we&#039;re looking at, that&#039;s a tough forecast to match as our numbers suggest something in the single digit millions is far more likely. In fact, we&#039;re looking for a <b>$5 million</b> debut and even that seems a little optimistic as we&#039;ve struggled to find a comp that would suggest anything higher.<br/><br/>A24&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3305670145/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Lighthouse</a> enjoyed a solid performance last weekend in moderate release, generating over $3 million from just 586 locations. This weekend they&#039;ve added nearly 400 more locations and we&#039;re going out with a <b>$4.4 million</b> forecast and will be interested to see just how it ends up doing.<br/><br/>Outside the top ten is where we find WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1426687489/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Motherless Brooklyn</a>, which is debuting in 1,332 theaters, far fewer than I believe most anyone expected. As such we can&#039;t see much reason to have too high of expectations to the point <b>$2.5 million</b> might be right on target.<br/><br/>Additionally, Disney is expanding <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2030601729/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Jojo Rabbit</a> into 256 locations (+201) this weekend and Neon&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1258849793/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Parasite</a> will add another 334 locations for a total of 463. Both films could be looking at $2+ million weekends and perhaps challenge for a spot in the top ten.<br/><br/>This weekend&#039;s forecast is directly below. This post will be updated on Friday morning with Thursday night preview results followed by Friday estimates on Saturday morning.<br/><br/><ul class="a-unordered-list a-nostyle a-vertical"><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Terminator: Dark Fate</b> (4,086 theaters) - $38.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Maleficent: Mistress of Evil</b> (3,820 theaters) - $11.25 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Joker</b> (3,519 theaters) - $11.25 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Harriet</b> (2,086 theaters) - $8.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>The Addams Family</b> (3,607 theaters) - $7.6 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Zombieland 2: Double Tap</b> (3,337 theaters) - $6.7 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Arctic Dogs</b> (2,844 theaters) - $5.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>The Lighthouse</b> (978 theaters) - $4.4 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Countdown </b> (2,697 theaters) - $4.1 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Black and Blue</b> (2,062 theaters) - $3.4 M</span></li></ul><br/><br/><i>Discuss this story with fellow <b>Box Office Mojo</b> fans on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.facebook.com/BoxOfficeMojo/">Facebook</a>. On Twitter, follow us at <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://twitter.com/#!/boxofficemojo">@boxofficemojo</a>.</i> Brad Brevet <mail@boxofficemojo.com> Thu, 31 Oct 2019 21:29:39 +0000https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3832546308/ 'Joker' Narrowly Holds Off 'Maleficent' to Return to the Weekend's Top Spot https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3849323524/?ref_=bo_nr_rss_8 It&#039;s a narrow race at the top of the box office, but based on estimates WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl252151297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Joker</a> was able to return to the weekend #1 spot after a brief respite last weekend as Disney&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl939755009/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Maleficent: Mistress of Evil</a> falls to second in its sophomore frame Meanwhile it was an equally tight race for third as well as fifth with the new releases of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl386434561/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Countdown</a> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2097579521/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Black and Blue</a> competing for that last spot in the top five.<br/><br/>Returning to the top of the weekend box office is WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl252151297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Joker</a>, which dipped just -35% as it entered its fourth week in release with an estimated <b>$18.9 million</b> three-day. The film&#039;s domestic cume now tops $277.5 million, which is enough to make it the seventh largest R-rated release domestically of all-time. Internationally the film added another $47.8 million this weekend, pushing the film&#039;s overseas total to $571.5 million for a global tally totaling nearly $850 million. This makes it the fifth largest DC Comics adaptation globally of all-time, topping <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl578455041/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Wonder Woman</a> ($821.8m) and just behind <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2238875137/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Batman v Superman</a> ($873.6m).<br/><br/>Dropping to second after one weekend at #1 is Disney&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl939755009/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Maleficent: Mistress of Evil</a>, which fell -49.8% in its second weekend for an estiamted <b>$18.5 million</b> and a domestic cume that now totals $65.4 million. Internationally the film added another $64.3 million for an overseas cume that now tops $228 million for a global tally just shy of $294 million.<br/><br/>In its third weekend of release, United Artists Releasing&#039;s animated comedy <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl101025281/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Addams Family</a> had the lowest drop on the board among holdovers, dropping just -28% as it enters its third week in release with an estimated <b>$11.7 million</b> three-day, lifting it to third place for a domestic cume that now stands at $72.8 million. Internationally, the film played in 19 markets this weekend and brought in an estimated $10.5 million for an overseas total that currently stands at $11.2 million for a worldwide cume totaling $84 million.<br/><br/><b>The Addams Family</b>&#039;s hold on third place, however, is slight as Sony&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl201819649/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Zombieland: Double Tap</a> came in with an estimated <b>$11.6 million</b>, dipping -57% in its second weekend for a domestic cume that now stands at $47 million. Internationally, the film brought in $9 million this weekend as it is now playing in 40 markets for an overseas cume now totaling $16.6 million and a global cume that stands at $63.6 million.<br/><br/><figure class="importance-minor"> <img src="https://m.media-amazon.com/images/M/MV5BYjcxMjM4MjgtNTEwMi00ZmE2LTlhMWUtMzQ4OWFmYmQwM2NlXkEyXkFqcGdeQXVyMTkxNjUyNQ@@._V1_UY250_.jpg"> <figcaption><span class="a-size-small">STXfilms</span></figcaption> </figure> Rounding out the top five is STXfilms&#039;s horror thriller <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl386434561/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Countdown</a> with an estimated <b>$9 million</b> debut. The performance for the $6.5 million production is on par with expectations while earning a &#034;C+&#034; from opening day audiences. The opening weekend crowd was evenly split 50% male and female with 78% coming in under the age of 35. Internationally, the film debuted in 16 markets with an estimated $1.7 million, led by a $480k launch in the UK.<br/><br/>In sixth we find Screen Gems&#039;s R-rated action/thriller <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2097579521/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Black and Blue</a>, which took in an estimated <b>$8.3 million</b> to go along with an excellent, &#034;A+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a>. The film played to a crowd that was 54% male with 66% of the overall crowd coming in aged 25 or older.<br/><br/>Elsewhere in the top ten, A24&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3305670145/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Lighthouse</a> had a solid showing as it expanded into 586 locations (+578) with an estimated <b>$3.08 million</b> and will expand further this next weekend as its domestic cume currently stands at $3.66 million after ten days in release.<br/><br/>Just behind it, 101 Studios&#039;s release of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2566948353/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Current War: Director&#039;s Cut</a> finished on par with expectations, delivering an estimated <b>$2.7 million</b> from 1,022 locations. The film received a &#034;B&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences while playing to a crowd that was 55% male and 35% of the audience was aged 35 or older.<br/><br/>Outside the top ten there is plenty to mention beginning with Fox International&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2919990785/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Housefull 4</a>, which opened in 315 locations with an estimated <b>$880,000</b> ($2,794 PTA); <b>Kanye West</b>&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4094395905/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Jesus is King</a>, which debuted in 372 IMAX locations with an estimated <b>$830,000</b> ($2,231 PTA); and WB&#039;s <b>Bruce Springsteen</b> doc <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1745585665/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Western Stars</a> opened in 537 theaters with an estimated <b>$560,000</b> ($1,043 PTA).<br/><br/>Further down the list, additional limited releases include Atlas&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4120674817/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">No Safe Spaces</a>, which opened in one theater with an estimated <b>$45,236</b>; Metrograph&#039;s re-release of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3684467201/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Downtown 81</a> in one theater with an estimated <b>$25,000</b>; and Sony Classics&#039;s release of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2802353665/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Frankie</a> in four theaters with an estimated <b>$22,941</b> ($5,735 PTA).<br/><br/>Next weekend sees the release of Paramount&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3103950337/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Terminator: Dark Fate</a> in over 3,500 theaters; <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl537232897/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Arctic Dogs</a> will play in over 3,600 locations; <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl369657345/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Harriet</a> will open in ~2,000 theaters; and Warner Bros. will release <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1426687489/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Motherless Brooklyn</a> in over 1,250 theaters.<br/><br/>You can check out all of this weekend&#039;s estimated results <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/2019W43/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>right here</b></a> and we&#039;ll be updating our charts with weekend actuals on Monday afternoon. <br/><br/><i>Discuss this story with fellow <b>Box Office Mojo</b> fans on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.facebook.com/BoxOfficeMojo/">Facebook</a>. On Twitter, follow us at <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://twitter.com/#!/boxofficemojo">@boxofficemojo</a>.</i> Brad Brevet <mail@boxofficemojo.com> Sun, 27 Oct 2019 18:31:30 +0000https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3849323524/ 'Joker' and 'Maleficent' Neck and Neck for #1 while 'Black and Blue' and 'Countdown' Compete for Fifth https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3866100740/?ref_=bo_nr_rss_9 <b>SATURDAY AM UPDATE:</b> STXfilms&#039;s horror thriller <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl386434561/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Countdown</a> took in an estimated <b>$3.1 million</b> on Friday. The $6.5 million production is expected to deliver a <b>$7.5-8+ million</b> debut. The film received a &#034;C+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences.<br/><br/>Sony&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2097579521/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Black and Blue</a> brought in an estimated <b>$3 million</b> on Friday, and is expected to be in a tight race with <b>Countdown</b> for the weekend&#039;s fifth slot, if not eke above it with anywhere from $8-8.5 million. The film earned an excellent, &#034;A+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences.<br/><br/>101 Studios&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2566948353/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Current War: Director&#039;s Cut</a> brought in an estimated <b>$947,000</b> from 1,022 locations and is looking at a weekend performance around $2.7 million.<br/><br/>You can check out all of the Friday estimates <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/date/2019-10-25/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>right here</b></a> and we&#039;ll be back tomorrow morning with a complete look at the weekend.<br/><br/><b>FRIDAY AM UPDATE:</b> Among the weekend&#039;s new wide releases, Screen Gems&#039;s R-rated action/thriller <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2097579521/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Black and Blue</a> led the charge in terms of previews, taking in <b>$675,000</b> from Thursday evening previews beginning at 7PM in 1,962 locations. We are projecting $6M for the weekend. Compared to some of our pre-weekend comps, this is ahead of both the $410k <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl494831105/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Sleepless</a> took in and the $335k for <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2272757249/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Triple 9</a>.<br/><br/>As for STXfilms&#039;s horror thriller <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl386434561/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Countdown</a>, it took in <b>$515k</b> last night from ~2,150 theaters. This is actually ahead of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3766257153/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Bye Bye Man</a>&#039;s $400k in previews, though with previews this low it&#039;s tough to glean much information when it comes to horror films.<br/><br/>We&#039;ll take a closer look at things tomorrow morning once Friday estimates come in. For now you can check out our weekend preview below.<br/><br/><b>WEEKEND PREVIEW:</b> This weekend will see a flurry of activity, beginning with a battle at the top for #1 between <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl939755009/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Maleficent: Mistress of Evil</a> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl252151297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Joker</a>. Might the Clown Prince of Crime spoil Maleficent&#039;s hopes for a second weekend at #1? Elsewhere, several expanding and new releases take the stage including the STX thriller <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl386434561/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Countdown</a> and the corrupt cop thriller <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2097579521/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Black and Blue</a> from Screen Gems. Additionally, films including <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1258849793/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Parasite</a> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3305670145/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Lighthouse</a> will expand along with holdover expansions including <b>Quentin Tarantino</b>&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl520455681/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Once Upon a Time in Hollywood</a> and Lionsgate&#039;s horror <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2852554241/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark</a>.<br/><br/>At the top of the box office we&#039;re currently expecting <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl939755009/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Maleficent: Mistress of Evil</a> to hold off Joker by the narrowest of margins, dipping -54% in its second weekend for a <b>$17 million</b> three-day. This drop is a bit better than the -58% dip for <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3577775617/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Alice Through the Looking Glass</a>, after it opened with $33.5 million over the four-day Memorial Day holiday back in 2016. Should the forecast hold we&#039;re looking at a domestic cume approaching $64 million by end of day Sunday.<br/><br/>Hot on <b>Maleficent</b>&#039;s heels is <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl252151297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Joker</a>, which dipped -47.6% last weekend and we&#039;re expecting a drop around -42% as it enters its fourth week in release. This would mean a <b>$16.99 million</b> three-day performance and a domestic cume topping $275 million by the end of the weekend. The film currently ranks eighth among <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://pro.imdb.com/boxoffice/brand/bn3664968194/?ref_=mojo_nr_rss">DC Comics adaptations domestically</a> and will soon top <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl643204609/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Hangover</a> to become the seventh highest grossing R-rated release of all-time.<br/><br/>Sony&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl201819649/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Zombieland: Double Tap</a> performed at the high end of expectations last weekend and should remain in third this weekend as we&#039;re currently anticipating a dip around -47% for a <b>$14.2 million</b> three-day and a domestic cume approaching $50 million after ten days in release.<br/><br/>Following suit from last weekend, look for UAR&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl101025281/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Addams Family</a> to once again land in fourth position. The animated feature has had a strong domestic performance thus far and we&#039;re expecting it to top $70 million this weekend with a <b>$10 million</b> three-day performance.<br/><br/><figure class="importance-minor"> <img src="https://m.media-amazon.com/images/M/MV5BYjcxMjM4MjgtNTEwMi00ZmE2LTlhMWUtMzQ4OWFmYmQwM2NlXkEyXkFqcGdeQXVyMTkxNjUyNQ@@._V1_UY250_.jpg"> <figcaption><span class="a-size-small">STX</span></figcaption> </figure> Rounding out the top five we come to the first of the weekend&#039;s new wide releases in STX&#039;s killer app thriller <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl386434561/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Countdown</a>, which will debut in over 2,600 theaters. Carrying a budget of just $6.5 million the expectations for this one are currently in the mid-single digit millions and that lines up mostly with what we&#039;re seeing with some potential for some upside. A look at IMDb page view data shows the film performing closely to STX&#039;s January 2017 title <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3766257153/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Bye Bye Man</a>, which opened with $13.5 million from 2,220 locations. Given the film&#039;s release proximity to Halloween there is definitely a chance it outperforms expectations and nears $10 million, but we&#039;re remaining a bit conservative in that respect, anticipating an <b>$8 million</b> debut.<br/><br/>Should <b>Countdown</b> end up on the lower end of expectations it could be in a tight race with Sony and Screen Gems&#039;s release of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2097579521/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Black and Blue</a>, which the studio is expecting to open with $6 million. Right now we&#039;re in line with the studio&#039;s expectations if not a little wary. Looking at comps such as <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl494831105/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Sleepless</a>, <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2272757249/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Triple 9</a> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2113963521/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Proud Mary</a>, IMDb page views leading up to release show <b>Black and Blue</b> trailing all three, suggesting it could struggle to hit $5 million, but we&#039;d actually be surprised to see it go that low and are more inclined to suggest it may over-perform with a chance at reaching $8-9 million.<br/><br/>Next, 101 Studios&#039;s release of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2566948353/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Current War: Director&#039;s Cut</a> will launch in 1,022 theaters. Originally slated to release in November 2017, the film was shelved in the wake of the Harvey Weinstein sexual abuse allegations and it arrives in theaters this weekend with an emphasis on it being director <b>Alfonso Gomez-Rejon</b>&#039;s cut of the film. Making a forecast difficult is the fact this is 101 Studios&#039;s first release, but based on what we&#039;re looking at a debut in the vicinity of <b>$2-3 million</b> seems reasonable consider comp titles based on the release&#039;s theater count.<br/><br/>Just outside the top ten for the third weekend in a row we have Neon&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1258849793/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Parasite</a>, which will expand to nearly 100 new locations this week, playing in 130 theaters. We&#039;ll also have our eye on A24&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3305670145/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">The Lighthouse</a>, which is expanding to 586 theaters (+578) and we currently have it sneaking into the top ten, forecasting a <b>$2 million</b> three-day.<br/><br/>Additionally, Sony is bringing <b>Quentin Tarantino</b>&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl520455681/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Once Upon a Time in Hollywood</a> back into 1,674 locations (+1,599) with over ten additional minutes starting this Friday. On top of that, Lionsgate is expanding the reach of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2852554241/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark</a>, bringing the horror film back into 1,567 locations (+1,348), looking to take advantage of folks looking for some scares.<br/><br/>In limited release, IMAX will feature <b>Kanye West</b>&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4094395905/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Jesus is King</a> in over 350 theaters, Fox Searchlight&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2919990785/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Housefull 4</a> will debut in 315 locations and WB&#039;s <b>Bruce Springsteen</b> doc <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1745585665/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">Western Stars</a> will play 537 venues.<br/><br/>This weekend&#039;s forecast is directly below. This post will be updated on Friday morning with Thursday night preview results followed by Friday estimates on Saturday morning, and a complete weekend recap on Sunday morning.<br/><br/><ul class="a-unordered-list a-nostyle a-vertical"><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Maleficent: Mistress of Evil</b> (3,790 theaters) - $17.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Joker</b> (3,936 theaters) - $17.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Zombieland 2: Double Tap</b> (3,545 theaters) - $14.2 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>The Addams Family</b> (4,207 theaters) - $10.8 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Countdown</b> (2,675 theaters) - $8.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Black and Blue</b> (2,062 theaters) - $6.0 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Gemini Man</b> (3,008 theaters) - $4.5 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>The Current War: Director&#039;s Cut</b> (1,022 theaters) - $2.8 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>Abominable</b> (2,191 theaters) - $2.1 M</span></li><li><span class="a-list-item"><b>The Lighthouse</b> (586 theaters) - $2.0 M</span></li></ul><br/><br/><i>Discuss this story with fellow <b>Box Office Mojo</b> fans on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.facebook.com/BoxOfficeMojo/">Facebook</a>. On Twitter, follow us at <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://twitter.com/boxofficemojo">@boxofficemojo</a>.</i> Brad Brevet <mail@boxofficemojo.com> Thu, 24 Oct 2019 21:45:29 +0000https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed3866100740/ 'Maleficent: Mistress of Evil' Tops the Weekend, but Falls Short of Expectations https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed727778308/?ref_=bo_nr_rss_10 This weekend saw the release of two new sequels and Disney&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl939755009/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Maleficent: Mistress of Evil</b></a> topped the chart as expected, albeit with a lighter performance than expected. However, Sony&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl201819649/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Zombieland: Double Tap</b></a> came in on the high side of expectations while WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl252151297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Joker</b></a> continued its strong run and will soon top $250 million domestically. Elsewhere, Neon&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1258849793/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Parasite</b></a>, A24&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3305670145/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>The Lighthouse</b></a> and Fox Searchlight&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2030601729/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Jojo Rabbit</b></a> all had strong showings in limited release. <br/><br/>With an estimated <b>$36 million</b>, Disney&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl939755009/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Maleficent: Mistress of Evil</b></a> opened atop the weekend box office, but failed to reach studio or industry expectations. The performance is also nearly half of the $69.4 million opening for the <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3915417089/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">2014 original</a>. We saw early signs the film might struggle as <a class="a-link-normal" href="/article/ed744555524/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">noted in our weekend preview</a> when looking at IMDb page view data, but it does appear those that did make their way to theaters to see the follow up enjoyed it, giving the film an &#034;A&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> and it currently holds a 96% audience score on RottenTomatoes. Overall, the film played to a crowd that was 56% female and 54% were aged 25 or older, compared to 60% female for the original, which also played a little younger. <br/><br/>Internationally, <b>Maleficent</b> launched in all major markets, bringing in an estimated <b>$117 million</b> for a $153 million global debut. Leading the way was a $22.4 million opening in China followed by Russia (<b>$10.7m</b>), Mexico (<b>$7.8m</b>), Indonesia (<b>$4.8m</b>), Italy (<b>$4.7m</b>), Korea (<b>$4.6m</b>), Brazil (<b>$4.5m</b>), UK (<b>$4.3m</b>), France (<b>$3.9m</b>), Thailand (<b>$3.7m</b>), Philippines (<b>$3.5m</b>), Germany (<b>$3.4m</b>) and Spain (<b>$3.2m</b>). <br/><br/>In second is yet another strong performance from WB&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl252151297/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Joker</b></a>, dipping -48% in its third weekend in release. The film&#039;s three-day estimate comes in at <b>$29.2 million</b> for a domestic cume that now tops $247 million. Internationally, the film added another $77.8 million for an overseas cume that now tops $490 million and a worldwide total that now stands at $737.5 million. <br/><br/>Sony&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl201819649/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Zombieland: Double Tap</b></a> is the weekend&#039;s other new wide release and it delivered on the high end of industry expectations, bringing in an estimated <b>$26.7 million</b> for the three-day weekend. Notable in this day and age, it also debuted higher than its predecessor, outperforming the $24.7 million opening for <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl847087105/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Zombieland</b></a>. Of course, given that film opened ten years ago it isn&#039;t exactly an apples-to-apples comparison. The film received a &#034;B+&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> from opening day audiences and played to a crowd that was 57% male — which is almost the exact opposite compared to the first film — and 56% of the overall audience was aged 25+. <br/><br/>Internationally, <b>Double Tap</b> debuted in one market last weekend and is now playing in 17 overseas markets where it grossed $5 million this weekend for a cume that currently stands at $5.3 million. The UK led all markets with a $1.7 million performance this weekend followed by Australia with a $1.3 million debut. Looking ahead, the film will open in Russia, Brazil and Mexico next weekend followed by openings in France (Oct 30), Germany (Nov 7), South Korea (Nov 13), Italy (Nov 14) and Japan (Nov 22). <br/><br/>In its second weekend of release, United Artists Releasing&#039;s animated comedy <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl101025281/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>The Addams Family</b></a> grossed an estimated <b>$16.05 million</b> over the weekend, pushing the film&#039;s domestic cume to $56.8 million after ten days in release. <br/><br/>Rounding out the top five is Paramount&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4228089345/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Gemini Man</b></a> dipping -59% as it kicks off its sophomore frame with an estimated <b>$8.5 million</b> for a domestic cume that now stands at $36.5 million. Internationally, the film brought in an estimated $33.4 million this weekend, the bulk of which coming from a $21 million opening in China. The film&#039;s overseas cume now stands at $82.2 million for a global total reaching $118.7 million. <br/><br/>Outside of the top five, Focus&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2399634945/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Downton Abbey</b></a> reached a milestone recently, becoming the studio&#039;s highest grossing film ever at the domestic box office. With an estimated <b>$3.08 million</b> as it enters its fifth week in release, the film&#039;s domestic cume now stands at $88.6 million, besting the previous record held by 2005&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1833534977/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Brokeback Mountain</b></a> with $83 million. <br/><br/>Finishing just outside the top ten is Neon&#039;s release of <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1258849793/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Parasite</b></a>, which is now playing in just 33 locations (+30) and brought in an estimated <b>$1.2 million</b> ($37,616 PTA) for a domestic cume that now stands at $1.8 million after ten days in release. <br/><br/>Another strong performance in limited release comes from A24&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3305670145/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>The Lighthouse</b></a>, which debuted in eight locations in NY, LA, SF, Boston, and Washington D.C. with an estimated <b>$419,764</b> ($52,471 PTA). The film, which stars <b>Robert Pattinson</b> and <b>Willem Dafoe</b> expands nationwide next weekend, expected to play in over 500 theaters. <br/><br/>Not too far behind it is yet another limited release in Fox Searchlight&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2030601729/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Jojo Rabbit</b></a>, which debuted this weekend in just five locations and brought in an estimated <b>$350,000</b>, <a class="a-link-normal" href="/weekend/2019W42/?ref_=bo_nr_rss">topping the chart</a> with a $70,000 per theater average. The film received an &#034;A&#034; <a class="a-link-normal" href="http://www.cinemascore.com/">CinemaScore</a> and played to a crowd that was 51% female. Looking ahead, it will add eight new markets next weekend while expanding further in New York and Los Angeles bringing the screen total to between 50+ locations. <br/><br/>Elsewhere in limited release, National Geographic&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4077618689/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>The Cave</b></a> brought in <b>$22,100</b> from two theaters; Freestyle&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4027287041/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Immortal Hero</b></a> launched in 12 locations with an estimated <b>$18,845</b> ($1,570 PTA); IFC&#039;s <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2416477697/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Greener Grass</b></a> opened in two locations and brought in an estimated <b>$14,133)</b>; Music Box&#039;s opened a pair of films including <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3976758785/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>By the Grace of God</b></a> in two theaters with an estimated <b>$8,188</b> and <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl4060841473/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Stuffed</b></a> in one location with an estimated <b>$1,534</b> <br/><br/>Next weekend Screen Gems will release the cop thriller <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2097579521/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Black and Blue</b></a> in ~2,000 theaters; STX will get into the Halloween season with <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl386434561/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>Countdown</b></a> in 2,600 locations and 101 Studios will go wide with <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2566948353/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>The Current War: Director&#039;s Cut</b></a> in an as yet undisclosed number of locations. <br/><br/>You can check out all of this weekend&#039;s estimated results <a class="a-link-normal" href="/weekend/2019W42/?ref_=bo_nr_rss"><b>right here</b></a> and we&#039;ll be updating our charts with weekend actuals on Monday afternoon. <br/><br/><i>Discuss this story with fellow <b>Box Office Mojo</b> fans on <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://www.facebook.com/BoxOfficeMojo/">Facebook</a>. On Twitter, follow us at <a class="a-link-normal" href="https://twitter.com/#!/boxofficemojo">@boxofficemojo</a>.</i> Brad Brevet <mail@boxofficemojo.com> Sun, 20 Oct 2019 22:45:11 +0000https://www.boxofficemojo.com/article/ed727778308/