Derby Players Stunned by 'Spider-Man's Record
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<TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Rank</TD> <TD bgColor=#dcdcdc>Name, Location</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#dcdcdc>Accuracy</TD></TR> <TR>
<TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>1</TD> <TD bgColor=#ffffff>stupidllamas</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>85.41%</TD></TR> <TR>
<TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>2</TD> <TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Jesse</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>84.51%</TD></TR> <TR>
<TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>3</TD> <TD bgColor=#ffffff>these2shall pass</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>83.28%</TD></TR> <TR>
<TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>4</TD> <TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Brandon Gray
Box Office Mojo</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>82.74%</TD></TR> <TR> <TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>5</TD> <TD bgColor=#ffffff>Andrea Carboni</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>82.01%</TD></TR> <TR> <TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>6</TD> <TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Romy</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>81.66%</TD></TR> <TR> <TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>7</TD> <TD bgColor=#ffffff>Furrman</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>81.17%</TD></TR> <TR> <TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>8</TD> <TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>keller ip</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>80.53%</TD></TR> <TR> <TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>9</TD> <TD bgColor=#ffffff>The Bates</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>80.47%</TD></TR> <TR> <TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>10</TD> <TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Aki Oksanen</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>80.35%</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>CLICK FOR FULL RESULTS</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Neither the experts nor the zealous fans foresaw Spider-Man's multi-record breaking opening last weekend. Most Derby players—66% of them—thought Spider-Man would only swing past The Lost World: Jurassic Park's No. 2 opening weekend record.
Nineteen players had the Spidey-Sense to see the film would beat Harry Potter's all-time opening weekend record of $90.3 million. One such player was ajb27 of St. Catharines, Ont., who simply said, "Spider will beat Harry." Jason Harris of Sacramento theorized that, "The Spider-Man fan base will even beat Harry Potter, due to an even wider age spread." Only five players predicted over $100 million and not one player over-predicted Spider-Man's actual $114.8 million total.
Heffro in New York came the closest to Spider-Man, estimating $103.6 million (90.24% accurate), which helped him rank #49 for the weekend.
But predicting Spider-Man was only part of winning last week's game. "The rest of the box office should falter big-time with the release of Spider-Man," said Stupidllamas of Rantoul, IL, who was the week's Derby Champion. Alex DelVecchio of Edison, NJ keenly observed that, "Spider-Man should leave no room for any other movies to break $10 million."
The average prediction accuracy was 58.67%, the second lowest in the Derby's history.
If Spider-Fans did not predict with enough enthusiasm in their numbers, they did so with passion in their words. Player Mike Dinerstein said, "Spidey is tough to predict since I believe its opening weekend is going to be astronomically large. That could just be because I'm a huge fan, but I also think that it's because of its wide-appeal and HUGE hype." Player Nemo expressed that "Spider-Man will wrap up the box office in a web of glory." And Adam J. Hakari in Wisconsin said, "If Spider-Man doesn't open huge, I'm defecting to DC Comics."
How will Spider-Man hold up in its second week at the box office? Be sure to send in your predictions by midnight on Thursday for this week's Box Office Derby.
Box Office Mojo</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>82.74%</TD></TR> <TR> <TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>5</TD> <TD bgColor=#ffffff>Andrea Carboni</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>82.01%</TD></TR> <TR> <TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>6</TD> <TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Romy</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>81.66%</TD></TR> <TR> <TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>7</TD> <TD bgColor=#ffffff>Furrman</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>81.17%</TD></TR> <TR> <TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>8</TD> <TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>keller ip</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>80.53%</TD></TR> <TR> <TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>9</TD> <TD bgColor=#ffffff>The Bates</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#ffffff>80.47%</TD></TR> <TR> <TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>10</TD> <TD bgColor=#f4f4ff>Aki Oksanen</TD> <TD align=middle bgColor=#f4f4ff>80.35%</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>CLICK FOR FULL RESULTS</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Neither the experts nor the zealous fans foresaw Spider-Man's multi-record breaking opening last weekend. Most Derby players—66% of them—thought Spider-Man would only swing past The Lost World: Jurassic Park's No. 2 opening weekend record.
Nineteen players had the Spidey-Sense to see the film would beat Harry Potter's all-time opening weekend record of $90.3 million. One such player was ajb27 of St. Catharines, Ont., who simply said, "Spider will beat Harry." Jason Harris of Sacramento theorized that, "The Spider-Man fan base will even beat Harry Potter, due to an even wider age spread." Only five players predicted over $100 million and not one player over-predicted Spider-Man's actual $114.8 million total.
Heffro in New York came the closest to Spider-Man, estimating $103.6 million (90.24% accurate), which helped him rank #49 for the weekend.
But predicting Spider-Man was only part of winning last week's game. "The rest of the box office should falter big-time with the release of Spider-Man," said Stupidllamas of Rantoul, IL, who was the week's Derby Champion. Alex DelVecchio of Edison, NJ keenly observed that, "Spider-Man should leave no room for any other movies to break $10 million."
The average prediction accuracy was 58.67%, the second lowest in the Derby's history.
If Spider-Fans did not predict with enough enthusiasm in their numbers, they did so with passion in their words. Player Mike Dinerstein said, "Spidey is tough to predict since I believe its opening weekend is going to be astronomically large. That could just be because I'm a huge fan, but I also think that it's because of its wide-appeal and HUGE hype." Player Nemo expressed that "Spider-Man will wrap up the box office in a web of glory." And Adam J. Hakari in Wisconsin said, "If Spider-Man doesn't open huge, I'm defecting to DC Comics."
How will Spider-Man hold up in its second week at the box office? Be sure to send in your predictions by midnight on Thursday for this week's Box Office Derby.
