May 31-June 2,
2002
Around
the World Round Up
by Kenan
Bresnan
It was
one of the worst weekends ever across the
globe. Celebrations for the Queen and
excellent weather in the U.K., the World
Cup in South Korea and Japan, and the
French Open in France caused massive
drop-offs in almost every country abroad.
Suffering the most damage was Star
Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones taking
steep drop-offs in all European markets.
About the only movies that had good
numbers were 40 Days & 40
Nights in Germany and the U.K., Shaolin
Soccer in Japan, and Panic
Room in Thailand and Singapore.
Not even Yoda could
predict the unprecedented drop-off in the
United Kingdom that Star Wars:
Episode II - Attack of the Clones took.
It tumbled 62%, as the market overall
plunged by 40% thanks to the Queen's
Golden Jubilee celebrations and unusually
nice weather. Hopefully the film can
regain its pride with the Monday and
Tuesday holiday celebrations. Elsewhere
in Europe it fell relatively steeply, but
still controlled the marketplace. In
Germany its conjured up $26.6 million
(down 43%), in France it has $19.4
million (abating by 47%), in Australia it
has $13.9 million (off 41%), and in Spain
it has a phenomenal $10 million (easing a
modest 31%). Over the weekend Star
Wars managed to make a decent
$18.2 million on 5,500 screens in 70
countries, hoisting its cume to $159.5
million.
Spider-Man
could have cared less about the world's
sports events as it continued to gain
amazing numbers in Latin America. Sony's
webslinger corralled $14.4 million from
3,551 screens in 34 countries, propelling
its cume to $124.2 million. Spidey
smashed the industry's opening record in
Colombia, minting $895,000 on 150
screens, eclipsing Harry Potter
& the Sorcerer's Stone's record
by more than 80%! In only its third lap,
the comicbook-inspired hero levitated to
$24.2 million in Mexico putting it on
course to crush Titanic's record
haul. In Brazil it looks to do the same
with $12 million in three weeks, already
number two behind Titanic.
Everywhere in Latin America, with the
exception of Ecuador (where The
Phantom Menace's record looks to
stay by a decent amount), Spider-Man
has the possibility of taking
all time records. In Venezuela ($2.1
million in the till), Chile ($1.8
million,) and Central America ($2.2
million) Spider-Man's numbers
are fantastic.
The
Tobey Maguire headliner eased by a
trifling 4%, despite the premiere of the
World Cup, in its fourth outing in Japan,
commanding $4.2 million bring its total
there to a boffo $35.1 million. In India,
the film fell an acceptable 39%, after
its record debut, earning $2.8 million in
10 days, which is what a great local film
amounts to in a country where local
productions are the highest in the world
(even above the U.S., France, and Japan).
Hong Kong comedy Shaolin
Soccer, fittingly released in
Japan while the World Cup tourney was
kicking off there and in South Korea,
netted a terrific $2.7 million on 335
screens. Through its second weekend in
South Korea, the Miramax release has
scored a dandy $2.6 million/
Panic
Room grabbed pole position in
Singapore (capturing $278,000 on 27),
Thailand ($252,000 on 73), Malaysia, and
Turkey. The thriller also placed second
in Mexico with $1.5 million on 356. The
Jodie Foster starrer raked in $5.5
million from 2,600 screens in 45
countrys, lifting its foreign tally to
$67.7 million, highlighted by Japan's
superb $9.8 million in 16 days (off 14%).
It only has Scandinavia, several more
Asian markets, and the rest of Latin
America to open in.
Taking
Universal's and UIP's biggest opening of
the year in Germany and pole position, 40
Days & 40 Nights debuted to
a fantastic $2.94 million on 603 screens.
In Germany's neighbor Austria the Josh
Hartnett starrer also had fantastic
numbers and the top spot with $613,000 on
62 screens. It also had 55% of the market
there even with Episode II's third
week total. In the United Kingdom it had
a little less grand $1.4 million on 329,
but still respectable. It has about $12.5
million total.
In
Australia, Charlotte Gray
was the big surprise opening at the
second spot, ahead of local comedy The
Hard Word, with $573,000 on 159.
The World War II drama generated a lot of
media coverage thanks to topliner Cate
Blanchett and helmer Gillian Armstrong. The
Hard Word, starring local boy
Guy Pearce opened third with a promising
$457,000 on 162, better than other Oz
hits Two Hands and Lock,
Stock & Two Smoking Barrels,
but will need a small drop when Spider-Man
opens next weekend to become a
hit.
Snow
Dogs couldn't create the sleeper
stature it had at home in the U.K. with a
chilly $500,000 on 325, but it showed
some promise for Australia as it debuted
only in Tasmania with $26,210 on 6
screens for a nice average of $4,368.
Next
weekend Spider-Man starts
its European tour and finishes off
several markets. It debuts in Australia,
the Czech Republic, Germany, Italy, and
New Zealand among others. Star
Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones tries
to mimic Spider-Man in
India along with debuts in Jamaica, St.
Kitts and Nevis, and Tortola. In Germany,
Pollock and several
German films try for strong limited
release debuts next to inevitable
headliner Spider-Man. In
Australia only IMAX hit Space
Station 3D attempts to combat Spider-Man.
In France, Unfaithful
gets the widest release with 398 screens.
All openers include Murder by
Numbers (319), Dragonfly
(202), and Killing Me
Softly (134). In the United
Kingdom Unfaithful also
debuts along with Dragonfly
and Monster's Ball.
This is
the weekend where Spider-Man can
prove that it will beat Attack of
the Clones in the international
arena and thus the worldwide arena. Will
it? I have no idea. So look for its to
take anywhere from $2-$5 million
Australia, $5-$9 million in Germany, and
$2-$4 million in Italy. Star Wars
probably won't mimic Spider-Man in
India, but still have a great opening of
$800,000 or so. In France Unfaithful
could actually unseat AOTC
with a nice debut of $3 million followed
by Clones and then Murder
with $1.2 million, and Dragonfly
with $700,000, and then Killing
Me Softly with around $600,000.
In the U.K. Unfaithful probably
won't beat AOTC, but
should still generate great business with
about $1.6 million with Dragonfly
getting about $500,000 and Monster's
Ball getting $150,000-$300,000
depending on how many screens it get.
These are my predicted
foreign totals for the selected films. I've
added more to this so check it out:
Unfaithful:
A remake of a French film entitled La
Femme infidèle, which did
signifcantly well in the French market
grossing over $3 million or about $15
million or more adjusted for inflation in
1969, Unfaithful should
have very strong numbers in all European
markets and Japan. It is somewhat similar
to Autumn in New York,
which took an unusually strong $53
million. Unfaithful
should conjure up about $65 million in
its entirtey especially since there is
relatively no competition in its genre.
Strongest markets should be FRANCE,
JAPAN, and GERMANY.
Murder by Numbers:
It should benefit from opening in an
uncrowded marketplace (since it opens in
Europe in late June). If advertising is
better than in the U.S. it should have
relativley decent numbers, but nothing
special. It should accumulate $31 million
in its run with its strongest markets in
MEXICO, THE NETHERLANDS, and AUSTRALIA.
Star Wars: Episode
II - Attack of the Clones: $531
million
Spider-Man:
$357 million
About a Boy:
$101 million
The Scorpion King:
$67 million
Panic Room:
$84 million
Queen of the
Damned: $21 million
Showtime: $39
million
John Q.: $28
million
Blade II: $67
million
E.T. The
Extra-Terrestrial: $36 million
Ice Age:
$173 million
Return to
Neverland: $42 million
The Time Machine:
$45 million
*Numbers are changed
whenever a market produces unexpected
numbers.
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