The Original
Box Office Forecast
by Brandon Gray

January-March, 2001

Year-to-Date Average Accuracy: 86.00%
2000 Average Accuracy: 85.02%

Blue = Prediction Red = Actual Purple = % Accuracy
(Predictions and actuals in millions)

3/30-4/1

1

Spy Kids (3.104 theaters)

16.5

26.5

62.26%

2

Someone Like You (2,345)

9.2

10.0

92.00%

3

Tomcats (2,617)

8.2

6.4

71.88%

4

Heartbreakers (2,751)

7.6

7.8

97.44%

5

The Brothers (1,378)

6.0

5.6

92.86%

6

Exit Wounds (2,610)

5.5

5.3

96.23%

7

Enemy at the Gates (1,706)

5.4

5.4

100.00%

8

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (1,906)

4.8

4.9

97.96%

9

Traffic (1,673)

3.9

3.8

97.37%

10

The Mexican (2,047)

3.0

2.5

80.00%

Click here to read the column.

3/9-11

1

The Mexican (2,959 theaters)

12.8

12.2

95.08%

2

15 Minutes (2,337)

11.7

10.5

88.57%

3

See Spot Run (2,656)

6.6

6.6

100.00%

4

Hannibal (2,947)

6.4

5.8

89.66%

5

Down to Earth (2,521)

5.2

5.6

92.86%

6

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (1,756)

4.1

4.3

95.35%

7

Get Over It (1,747)

6.8

4.1

34.15%

8

Traffic (1,617)

3.8

3.9

97.44%

9

Chocolat (1,928)

3.6

3.8

94.74%

10

Recess: School's Out (2,342)

2.5

2.3

91.30%

3/2-4

1

The Mexican (2,951 theaters)

24.0

20.1

80.60%

2

Hannibal (3,272)

8.8

10.1

87.13%

3

See Spot Run (2,656)

6.2

9.7

63.92%

4

Down to Earth (2,521)

6.7

7.8

85.90%

5

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (1,751)

4.9

4.9

100.00%

6

Traffic (1,617)

3.9

4.5

86.67%

7

Chocolat (1,857)

3.9

4.2

92.86%

8

Recess: School's Out (2,503)

3.9

4.0

97.50%

9

3,000 Miles to Graceland (2,545)

4.0

3.1

70.97%

10

Sweet November (2,037)

3.0

2.3

69.57%

2/23-25

1

Hannibal (3,292 theaters)

14.8

15.8

93.67%

2

Down to Earth (2,521)

10.7

11.2

95.54%

3

3,000 Miles to Graceland (2,545)

9.7

7.2

65.28%

4

Recess: School's Out (2,630)

7.0

6.9

98.55%

5

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (1,749)

6.4

6.6

96.97%

6

Traffic (1,753)

4.7

5.1

92.16%

7

Sweet November (2,268)

5.7

5.1

88.24%

8

Chocolat (1,844)

4.8

4.8

100.00%

9

The Wedding Planner (2,064)

3.5

4.0

87.50%

11

Monkeybone (1,722)

4.8

2.7

22.22%

2/16-19

1

Hannibal (3,238 theaters)

35.6

33.5

93.73%

2

Down to Earth (2,521)

11.9

20.0

59.50%

3

Recess: School's Out (2,624)

7.4

13.5

54.81%

4

Sweet November (2,268)

15.9

11.0

55.45%

5

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (1,653)

8.5

10.5

80.95%

6

Traffic (1,742)

5.9

7.5

78.67%

7

The Wedding Planner (2,554)

6.4

6.7

95.52%

8

Chocolat (1,485)

5.1

5.7

89.47%

9

Cast Away (2,249)

5.4

5.4

100.00%

10

Saving Silverman (2,467)

4.9

4.8

97.92%

2/9-11

1

Hannibal (3,230 theaters)

44.4

58.0

76.55%

2

The Wedding Planner (2,726)

7.1

7.7

89.61%

3

Saving Silverman (2,467)

7.3

7.4

98.65%

4

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (1,204)

5.0

5.4

92.59%

5

Cast Away (2,354)

5.0

5.2

96.15%

6

Save the Last Dance (2,506)

4.5

4.8

93.75%

7

Traffic (1,734)

4.2

4.4

95.45%

8

Valentine (2,310)

4.2

3.8

89.47%

10

Chocolat (1,148)

2.9

3.1

93.55%

11

Head Over Heels (2,360)

2.7

2.6

96.15%

2/2-4

1

The Wedding Planner (2,785)

8.8

10.6

83.02%

2

Valentine (2,310)

11.2

10.0

88.00%

3

Cast Away (2,648)

5.8

7.5

77.33%

4

Save the Last Dance (2,570)

6.8

7.2

94.44%

5

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (1,161)

4.6

6.8

67.65%

6

Traffic (1,580)

4.7

6.3

74.60%

7

Head Over Heels (2,365)

4.8

4.8

100.00%

8

Finding Forrester (1,983)

3.3

4.2

78.57%

12

Sugar & Spice (2,150)

3.5

3.6

97.22%

17

Left Behind (862)

3.2

2.2

54.55%

1/26-28

1

The Wedding Planner (2,785 theaters)

9.7

13.5

71.85%

2

Save the Last Dance (2,561)

10.1

9.8

96.97%

3

Cast Away (2,890)

7.9

8.1

97.53%

4

Traffic (1,580)

6.0

6.5

92.31%

5

Sugar & Spice (2,150)

6.7

6.0

88.33%

6

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (869)

5.3

5.1

96.08%

7

Snatch (1,444)

4.9

4.7

95.74%

8

Finding Forrester (2,002)

4.5

4.6

97.83%

9

What Women Want (2,611)

4.5

4.4

97.73%

10

Miss Congeniality (2,409)

4.7

4.2

88.10%

12

Thirteen Days (1,936)

3.8

3.4

88.24%

13

Chocolat (1,203)

4.4

3.4

70.59%

1/19-21

1

Save the Last Dance (2,539)

15.9

15.4

96.75%

2

Cast Away (3,053)

12.1

11.2

91.96%

3

Traffic (1,571)

8.0

8.5

94.12%

4

Snatch (1,444)

9.0

8.0

87.50%

5

What Women Want (3,025)

6.6

6.9

95.65%

6

Finding Forrester (2,002)

7.0

6.7

95.52%

7

Miss Congeniality (2,603)

6.2

6.3

98.41%

8

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (830)

8.0

6.1

68.85%

9

Thirteen Days (2,034)

6.4

6.0

93.33%

10

Double Take (1,631)

5.0

5.8

86.21%

11

The Pledge (1,275)

4.4

5.8

75.86%

12

The Emperor's New Groove (2,016)

4.0

3.9

97.44%

13

The Gift (805)

3.3

3.5

94.29%

15

Chocolat (658)

3.5

3.1

87.10%

1/12-15

1

Save the Last Dance (2,230 theaters)

13.9

27.5

50.55%

2

Cast Away (3,048)

17.7

19.8

89.39%

3

Traffic (1,527)

11.8

13.4

88.06%

4

Double Take (1,631)

7.9

11.7

67.52%

5

What Women Want (3,092)

12.0

11.6

96.55%

6

Thirteen Days (2,029)

6.5

11.3

57.52%

7

Finding Forrester (2,002)

10.2

11.1

91.89%

8

Miss Congeniality (2,668)

10.8

10.6

98.11%

9

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon (693)

7.5

9.5

78.95%

10

The Emperor's New Groove (2,237)

6.0

7.8

76.92%

11

The Family Man (2,440)

6.9

6.6

95.45%

12

Anti-Trust (2,433)

7.3

5.5

67.27%


Forecast Archive

2000

October-December

July-September

April - June

January - March

1999

October - December

July - September

April - June

January - March

1998

 

Home

Copyright © 1998-2001 by Brandon Gray. All Rights Reserved.