Forecast Archive

April - June 1999

Blue = Prediction Red = Actual Purple = % Accuracy

(Predictions and actuals in millions.)

6/25-27

1

Big Daddy

36.3

41.5

87.47%

2

Tarzan

24.3

24.1

99.17%

3

The Spy Who Shagged Me

18.3

18.3

100.00%

4

The General's Daughter

12.4

15.2

81.58%

5

The Phantom Menace

14.1

14.1

100.00%

6

Notting Hill

5.4

5.5

98.18%

7

The Mummy

2.2

2.2

100.00%

8

Instinct

1.9

1.9

100.00%

 

6/18-20

1

Tarzan

27.4

34.2

80.12%

2

The Spy Who Shagged Me

32.9

31.4

 95.22%

3

The General's Daughter

17.5

 22.3

 78.48%

4

The Phantom Menace

18.7

 18.9

 98.94%

5

Notting Hill

8.1

 6.9

 82.61%

6

Instinct

4.1

 3.2

 71.88%

7

The Mummy

3.6

 3.2

 87.50%

8

Entrapment

1.7

 1.3

 69.23%

9

The Matrix

1.2

 1.3

 92.31%

 

6/11-13

1

The Spy Who Shagged Me

39.7

54.9

 72.31%

2

The Phantom Menace

22.4

 25.6

 87.50%

3

Notting Hill

10.8

 11.3

 95.58%

4

Instinct

6.4

 6.8

 94.12%

5

The Mummy

5.0

 5.5

 90.91%

6

Entrapment

2.6

 2.7

 96.30%

7

The Matrix

1.8

 1.9

 94.74%

8

The Thirteenth Floor

1.2

 1.2

100.00%

 

6/4-6

1

The Phantom Menace

33.1

32.9

99.39%

2

Notting Hill

15.4

 15.0

 97.33%

3

Instinct

8.8

 10.4

 84.62%

4

The Mummy

6.3

 7.4

 85.14%

5

Entrapment

3.7

 3.8

 97.37%

6

The Matrix

2.1

 2.5

 84.00%

7

The Thirteenth Floor

1.7

 2.0

 85.00%

8

Never Been Kissed

1.1

 1.2

 91.67%

 

5/28-31

1

The Phantom Menace

57.4

66.9

 85.80%

2

Notting Hill

26.8

27.7

 96.75%

3

The Mummy

10.8

 12.9

 83.72%

4

Entrapment

6.4

 7.2

 88.89%

5

The Thirteenth Floor

3.8

 4.3

 88.37%

6

The Matrix

3.0

 3.8

 78.95%

7

A Midsummer Night's Dream

2.3

 2.1

 90.48%

8

Never Been Kissed

1.9

 2.0

 95.00%

10

The Love Letter

2.0

 1.4

 57.14%

12

Life

1.4

1.4

100.00%

 

5/21-23

1

The Phantom Menace

90.6

64.8

60.19%

2

The Mummy

11.7

13.8

84.78%

3

Entrapment

5.7

6.3

90.48%

4

The Matrix

2.7

 2.9

93.10%

5

The Love Letter

2.3

 2.7

85.19%

6

A Midsummer Night's Dream

2.6

 2.6

100.00%

7

Never Been Kissed

1.6

 1.7

94.12%

8

Black Mask

1.8

 1.7

 94.12%

9

Life

1.4

 1.6

87.50%

12

Tea with Mussolini

1.4

 1.3

92.31%

 

5/14-16

1

The Mummy

27.9

24.9

87.95%

2

Entrapment

7.4

 9.1

 81.32%

3

The Matrix

4.2

 4.5

 93.33%

4

Black Mask

2.4

 4.4

 54.55%

5

A Midsummer Night's Dream

7.3

 4.3

 30.23%

6

Life

2.0

 2.9

 *

7

Trippin'

1.6

 2.5

 64.00%

8

Never Been Kissed

2.2

 2.5

 88.00%

9

Election

2.1

 2.3

 91.30%

11

Analyze This

1.2

 .9

 **

* Due to actual gross being padded by Notting Hill preview, accuracy will not be counted.

** Due to significant and unexpected loss of theaters, accuracy will not be counted.

5/7-9

1

The Mummy

30.1

43.4

69.35%

2

Entrapment

12.7

12.3

96.75%

3

The Matrix

6.1

5.9

96.61%

4

Life

3.7

3.6

 97.22%

5

Election

3.3

3.2

96.88%

6

Never Been Kissed

2.8

 3.0

93.33%

7

Analyze This

1.6

1.7

94.12%

8

10 Things I Hate About You

1.1

1.1

100.00%

 

4/30-5/2

1

Entrapment

13.4

20.1

66.67%

2

The Matrix

9.3

 8.7

 93.10%

3

Life

6.3

 6.5

 96.92%

4

Never Been Kissed

4.1

 4.1

100.00%

5

Analyze This

2.3

 2.2

95.45%

6

10 Things I Hate About You

1.6

 1.8

 88.89%

7

Idle Hands

4.0

 1.8

0%

8

Lost and Found

1.4

 1.3

92.31%

9

Pushing Tin

2.2

 1.3

30.77%

10

Go

1.3

 1.2

91.67%

 

4/23-25

1

The Matrix

13.7

12.6

91.27%

2

Life

12.2

11.3

92.04%

3

Never Been Kissed

6.0

 6.0

100.00%

4

Pushing Tin

5.0

 3.6

61.11%

5

Analyze This

3.0

 3.1

96.77%

6

Lost and Found

5.9

 3.0

3.33%

7

10 Things I Hate About You

2.7

 2.7

100.00%

8

Go

1.9

 2.0

95.00%

9

The Out-of-Towners

1.9

 2.0

95.00%

10

Forces of Nature

1.6

 1.6

100.00%

 

4/16-18

1

Life

10.4

20.4

 50.98%

2

The Matrix

17.3

17.9

96.65%

3

Never Been Kissed

7.6

 8.4

90.48%

4

Analyze This

3.7

 3.9

94.87%

5

10 Things I Hate About You

3.0

 3.7

81.08%

6

The Out-of-Towners

3.0

 3.1

96.77%

7

Go

3.2

 3.0

93.33%

8

Forces of Nature

2.0

 2.5

80.00%

10

Shakespeare in Love

1.5

 1.8

83.33%

15

Goodbye Lover

1.5

 1.0

50.00%

 

4/9-11

1

The Matrix

20.5

22.6

 90.71%

2

Never Been Kissed

11.0

11.8

93.22%

3

10 Things I Hate About You

4.8

5.0

 96.00%

4

The Out-of-Towners

5.3

5.0

 94.00%

5

Analyze This

4.5

5.0

 90.00%

6

Go

7.8

4.7

 34.04%

7

Forces of Nature

4.0

3.5

 85.71%

8

Twin Dragons

3.4

2.8

 78.57%

11

Shakespeare in Love

2.2

2.2

100.00%

12

Ed TV

2.6

2.1

 76.19%

 

4/2-4

1

The Matrix

24.2

27.8

 87.05%

2

10 Things I Hate About You

8.5

8.3

 97.59%

3

The Out-of-Towners

6.3

 8.2

 76.83%

4

Analyze This

6.0

 6.3

 95.24%

5

Forces of Nature

6.2

 6.2

100.00%

6

Ed TV

5.3

 4.4

79.55%

7

Shakespeare in Love

3.2

 3.1

 96.77%

8

Doug's 1st Movie

3.2

 3.1

 96.77%

9

Life Is Beautiful

2.4

 2.7

 88.89%

10

The Mod Squad

2.5

 2.6

 96.15%

 

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Brandon Gray