|
The Original
BOX OFFICE FORECAST™
by Brandon Gray
The most accurate
box office predictions since 1998.
(Predictions are posted after the Box Office Derby deadline (late Thursday/early Friday, 12 a.m. Pacific) so as not to influence that contest. These predictions are solely the opinion of Brandon Gray and do not incorporate any insider info, making the Forecast a pure test of predicting accuracy that uses only stats on this site readily available to all in its formulations.)
|
Blue = Predicted Weekend Gross
Total Gross / Week # |
Red = Actual
Weekend Gross
Total Gross / Week #
|
|
Purple = % Weekend Accuracy
(Predictions and actuals in $ millions) |
JULY-SEPTEMBER,
2003
9/26-28
9/19-21
9/12-14
9/5-7
|
1 |
Dickie Roberts (2,026 theaters) |
6.9 |
6.7
|
97.01% |
|
2 |
Jeepers Creepers 2 |
6.8 |
6.6
|
96.97% |
|
3 |
Open Range |
5.8 |
4.2
|
61.90% |
|
4 |
Pirates of the Caribbean |
5.8 |
5.3
|
90.57% |
|
5 |
Freaky Friday |
5.5 |
5.0
|
90.00% |
|
6 |
Seabiscuit |
5.0 |
3.7
|
64.86% |
|
7 |
S.W.A.T. |
4.7 |
4.6
|
97.83% |
|
8 |
The Order (1,975 theaters) |
4.0 |
4.4
|
90.91% |
|
9 |
Freddy vs. Jason |
3.3 |
3.2
|
96.88% |
|
10 |
The Medallion |
2.2 |
2.2
|
100.00% |
|
11 |
Uptown Girls |
2.1 |
2.5
|
84.00% |
|
- |
My Boss's Daughter |
1.7 |
1.8
|
94.44% |
8/29-9/1
4-day Labor Day Weekend
|
1 |
Jeepers Creepers 2 (3,124 theaters) |
11.7 |
18.4
|
63.59% |
|
2 |
Open Range |
11.0 |
10.7
|
97.20% |
|
3 |
S.W.A.T. |
10.4 |
10.8
|
96.30% |
|
4 |
Freaky Friday |
10.1 |
12.6
|
80.16% |
|
5 |
Freddy vs. Jason |
9.6 |
8.7
|
89.66% |
|
6 |
Pirates of the Caribbean |
8.8 |
10.8
|
81.48% |
|
7 |
Seabiscuit |
7.6 |
9.1
|
83.52% |
|
8 |
The Medallion |
6.0 |
6.2
|
96.77% |
|
9 |
American Wedding |
4.8 |
4.8
|
100.00% |
|
10 |
Uptown Girls |
4.6 |
5.6
|
82.14% |
|
11 |
The Italian Job (1,964 theaters) |
3.2 |
3.9
|
82.05% |
|
12 |
My Boss's Daughter |
3.1 |
4.5
|
68.89% |
8/22-24
|
1 |
Freddy vs. Jason |
14.9 |
13.2
|
87.12% |
|
2 |
S.W.A.T. |
11.3 |
10.6
|
93.40% |
|
3 |
The Medallion (2,648 theaters) |
10.3 |
8.1
|
72.84% |
|
4 |
Open Range |
9.7 |
9.5
|
97.89% |
|
5 |
Freaky Friday |
9.0 |
9.3
|
96.77% |
|
6 |
Pirates of the Caribbean |
6.6 |
7.3
|
90.41% |
|
7 |
Uptown Girls |
6.0 |
5.6
|
92.86% |
|
8 |
Seabiscuit |
6.0 |
6.2
|
96.77% |
|
9 |
American Wedding |
5.2 |
5.5
|
94.55% |
|
10 |
My Boss's Daughter (2,201 theaters) |
4.4 |
4.9
|
89.80% |
|
- |
Marci X (1,200 theaters) |
2.2 |
0.9
|
0.00% |
8/15-17
|
1 |
Freddy vs. Jason (3,014 theaters) |
22.6 |
36.4
|
62.09% |
|
2 |
S.W.A.T. |
17.7 |
18.1
|
97.79% |
|
3 |
Freaky Friday |
13.7 |
13.4
|
97.76% |
|
4 |
Open Range (2,075 theaters) |
10.7 |
14.0
|
76.43% |
|
5 |
Uptown Girls (2,495 theaters) |
9.7 |
11.3
|
85.84% |
|
6 |
Pirates of the Caribbean |
9.1 |
9.2
|
98.91% |
|
7 |
American Wedding |
8.9 |
8.4
|
94.05% |
|
8 |
Seabiscuit |
8.3 |
8.1
|
97.53% |
|
9 |
Spy Kids 3D: Game Over |
5.7 |
5.3
|
92.45% |
|
10 |
Grind (2,253 theaters) |
3.2 |
2.5
|
72.00% |
8/8-10
|
1 |
S.W.A.T. (3,202 theaters) |
31.0 |
37.1
|
83.56% |
|
2 |
Freaky Friday (2,710 theaters) |
17.4 |
22.2
|
78.38% |
|
3 |
American Wedding |
16.1 |
15.5
|
96.13% |
|
4 |
Seabiscuit |
13.7 |
12.0
|
85.83% |
|
5 |
Pirates of the Caribbean |
13.5 |
13.0
|
96.15% |
|
6 |
Spy Kids 3D: Game Over |
11.5 |
9.8
|
82.65% |
|
7 |
Bad Boys II |
7.4 |
6.0
|
76.67% |
|
8 |
Tomb Raider: The Cradle of Life |
6.2 |
5.2
|
80.77% |
|
9 |
Finding Nemo |
3.0 |
2.5
|
80.00% |
|
10 |
Terminator 3 |
1.9 |
1.6
|
81.25% |
|
- |
Gigli |
1.1 |
0.7
|
42.86% |
8/1-3
|
1 |
American Wedding (3,175 theaters) |
37.7 |
33.4
|
87.13% |
|
2 |
Seabiscuit |
16.9 |
17.6
|
96.02% |
|
3 |
Spy Kids 3D: Game Over |
16.3 |
19.5
|
83.59% |
|
4 |
Pirates of the Caribbean |
15.8 |
18.8
|
84.04% |
|
5 |
Bad Boys II |
11.7 |
12.7
|
92.13% |
|
6 |
Tomb Raider: The Cradle of Life |
9.3 |
11.3
|
82.30% |
|
7 |
Gigli (2,215 theaters) |
6.9 |
3.8
|
18.42% |
|
8 |
Bend It Like Beckham (1,002 theaters) |
3.1 |
1.8
|
27.78% |
|
9 |
Finding Nemo |
3.0 |
3.9
|
76.92% |
|
10 |
Terminator 3 |
2.8 |
3.0
|
93.33% |
7/25-27
|
1 |
Tomb Raider: The Cradle of Life (3,222 theaters) |
28.2 |
21.8
|
70.64% |
|
2 |
Pirates of the Caribbean |
23.7 |
23.1
|
97.40% |
|
3 |
Seabiscuit (1,987 theaters) |
22.4 |
20.9
|
92.82% |
|
4 |
Bad Boys II |
20.5 |
22.1
|
92.76% |
|
5 |
Spy Kids 3D: Game Over (3,344 theaters) |
14.6 |
33.4
|
43.71% |
|
6 |
Johnny English |
5.2 |
4.3
|
79.07% |
|
7 |
Finding Nemo |
5.1 |
4.4
|
84.09% |
|
8 |
The League of Extraordinary Gentlemen |
5.0 |
5.1
|
98.04% |
|
9 |
Terminator 3 |
4.9 |
5.1
|
96.08% |
|
10 |
Legally Blonde 2 |
3.4 |
2.7
|
74.07% |
7/18-20
|
1 |
Bad Boys II (3,186 theaters) |
42.8 |
46.5
|
92.04% |
|
2 |
Pirates of the Caribbean |
29.4 |
34.0
|
86.47% |
|
3 |
Terminator 3 |
10.9 |
9.3
|
82.80% |
|
4 |
The League of Extraordinary Gentlemen |
10.4 |
10.2
|
98.04% |
|
5 |
How to Deal (2,319 theaters) |
8.7 |
5.8
|
50.00% |
|
6 |
Johnny English (2,236 theaters) |
8.3 |
9.1
|
91.21% |
|
7 |
Legally Blonde 2 |
7.2 |
6.1
|
81.97% |
|
8 |
Finding Nemo |
6.2 |
7.3
|
84.93% |
|
9 |
Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle |
3.6 |
3.8
|
94.74% |
|
10 |
28 Days Later |
2.7 |
2.5
|
92.00% |
7/11-13
|
1 |
Pirates of the Caribbean (3,269 theaters) |
35.8 |
46.6
|
76.82% |
|
2 |
Terminator 3 |
22.2 |
19.5
|
86.15% |
|
3 |
Legally Blonde 2 |
11.0 |
12.0
|
91.67% |
|
4 |
The League of Extraordinary Gentlemen (3,000 theaters) |
10.9 |
23.1
|
47.19% |
|
5 |
Finding Nemo |
8.3 |
8.5
|
97.65% |
|
6 |
Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle |
7.4 |
7.1
|
95.77% |
|
7 |
Sinbad |
4.1 |
4.3
|
95.35% |
|
8 |
Hulk |
4.0 |
3.7
|
91.89% |
|
9 |
28 Days Later |
3.4 |
4.2
|
80.95% |
|
10 |
The Italian Job |
3.1 |
2.7
|
85.19% |
7/4-6 (7/2-6)
Openers: 5-day
|
1 |
Terminator 3 (5-day, 3,504 theaters) |
91.9 |
72.4
|
73.07% |
|
2 |
Legally Blonde 2 (5-day, 3,350 theaters) |
51.2 |
38.5
|
67.01% |
|
3 |
Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle |
16.6 |
14.0
|
81.43% |
|
4 |
Sinbad (5-day, 3,086 theaters) |
17.4 |
10.1
|
27.72% |
|
5 |
Finding Nemo |
8.9 |
11.1
|
80.18% |
|
6 |
Hulk |
7.5 |
8.2
|
91.46% |
|
7 |
28 Days Later |
5.3 |
6.0
|
88.33% |
|
8 |
Bruce Almighty |
3.9 |
4.0
|
97.50% |
|
9 |
The Italian Job |
3.8 |
4.2
|
90.48% |
|
10 |
2 Fast 2 Furious |
3.2 |
2.6
|
76.92% |
CLICK HERE TO TEST YOUR PREDICTING PROWESS
Forecast Archive
2003
APRIL-JUNE
JANUARY-MARCH
2002
OCTOBER-DECEMBER
JULY-SEPTEMBER
APRIL-JUNE
JANUARY-MARCH
2001
Average Accuracy: 86.47%
OCTOBER–DECEMBER
JULY-SEPTEMBER
APRIL-JUNE
JANUARY-MARCH
2000
Average Accuracy: 85.02%
OCTOBER-DECEMBER
JULY-SEPTEMBER
APRIL-JUNE
JANUARY-MARCH
1999
OCTOBER-DECEMBER
JULY-SEPTEMBER
APRIL-JUNE
JANUARY-MARCH
1998
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Copyright © 1998-2003 by Brandon Gray. All Rights Reserved.
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