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The Original
BOX OFFICE FORECAST
by Brandon Gray
The most accurate box office predictions since 1998.

Blue = Prediction  Red = Actual Purple = % Accuracy
(Predictions and actuals in $ millions)

APRIL-JUNE, 2003


6/27-29

1

Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle (3,459 theaters)

57.8

37.6

46.28%

2

HULK

24.5

18.8

69.68%

3

Finding Nemo

14.6

14.0

95.71%

4

Bruce Almighty

6.5

6.2

95.16%

5

2 Fast 2 Furious

6.2

6.2

100.00%

6

The Italian Job

5.0

5.5

90.91%

7

28 Days Later (1,258 theaters)

4.7

10.1

46.53%

8

Rugrats Go Wild

3.9

3.6

91.67%

9

Alex and Emma

3.3

2.6

73.08%

10

Hollywood Homicide

3.0

3.1

96.77%


6/20-22

1

HULK (3,660 theaters)

85.1

62.1

62.96%

2

Finding Nemo

18.4

21.1

87.20%

3

2 Fast 2 Furious

9.6

11.1

86.49%

4

Bruce Almighty

9.2

9.8

93.88%

5

Alex and Emma (2,310 theaters)

7.0

6.1

85.25%

6

The Italian Job

6.8

7.2

94.44%

7

Hollywood Homicide

5.3

5.9

89.83%

8

Rugrats Go Wild

5.2

6.9

75.36%

9

Dumb and Dumberer

4.1

4.4

93.18%

10

The Matrix Reloaded

3.5

3.9

89.74%

11

From Justin to Kelly (2,001 theaters)

2.7

2.7

100.00%


6/13-15

1

Finding Nemo

31.0

28.4

90.85%

2

2 Fast 2 Furious

19.3

18.7

96.79%

3

Dumb and Dumberer (2,609 theaters)

17.5

10.8

37.96%

4

Hollywood Homicide (2,840 theaters)

16.8

11.1

48.65%

5

Rugrats Go Wild (3,041 theaters)

16.2

11.6

60.34%

6

Bruce Almighty

14.2

14.2

100.00%

7

The Italian Job

9.3

9.6

96.88%

8

The Matrix Reloaded

5.5

5.7

96.49%

9

Daddy Day Care

2.7

2.2

77.27%

10

X2: X-Men United

1.8

1.7

94.12%


6/6-8

1

Finding Nemo

45.7

46.6

98.07%

2

2 Fast 2 Furious (3,408 theaters)

34.1

50.5

67.52%

3

Bruce Almighty

24.6

22.4

90.18%

4

The Italian Job

12.9

13.2

97.73%

5

The Matrix Reloaded

8.8

9.2

95.65%

6

Daddy Day Care

4.3

4.6

93.48%

7

X2: X-Men United

3.3

3.0

90.00%

8

Wrong Turn

2.5

2.7

92.59%

9

The In-Laws

2.0

2.0

100.00%

10

Down with Love

0.7

0.9

77.78%


5/30-6/1

1

Finding Nemo (3,374 theaters)

63.8

70.3

90.75%

2

Bruce Almighty

34.0

37.3

91.15%

3

The Italian Job (2,633 theaters)

23.0

19.5

82.05%

4

The Matrix Reloaded

17.0

15.7

91.72%

5

Daddy Day Care

7.1

6.7

94.03%

6

X2: X-Men United

5.1

5.1

100.00%

7

Wrong Turn (1,615 theaters)

4.8

5.2

92.31%

8

The In-Laws

3.8

3.7

97.30%

9

Down with Love

1.7

1.6

93.75%

10

The Lizzie McGuire Movie

1.4

1.2

83.33%


5/23-26

1

Bruce Almighty (3,482 theaters)

67.9

85.7

79.23%

2

The Matrix Reloaded

57.5

45.6

73.90%

3

Daddy Day Care

15.6

18.1

86.19%

4

X2: X-Men United

12.2

13.2

92.42%

5

The In-Laws (2,652 theaters)

8.8

9.2

95.65%

6

Down with Love

5.1

5.1

100.00%

7

The Lizzie McGuire Movie

3.9

4.3

90.70%

8

Holes

2.8

3.2

87.50%

9

Anger Management

2.7

2.3

82.61%

10

Identity

2.7

2.7

100.00%


5/16-18

1

The Matrix Reloaded (4-day; 3,603 theaters)

135.0

134.3

99.48%

2

X2: X-Men United

18.6

17.3

92.49%

3

Daddy Day Care

16.0

18.9

84.66%

4

Down with Love (2,124 theaters)

12.0

7.0

28.57%

5

The Lizzie McGuire Movie

3.8

4.8

79.17%

6

Identity

3.7

3.7

100.00%

7

Anger Management

3.6

3.6

100.00%

8

Holes

3.5

3.2

90.63%

9

A Mighty Wind

2.0

1.7

82.35%

10

Bend It Like Beckham

1.4

1.4

100.00%


5/9-11

1

X2: X-Men United

39.2

40.0

98.00%

2

Daddy Day Care (3,370 theaters)

27.4

27.6

99.28%

3

The Lizzie McGuire Movie

9.0

7.2

75.00%

4

Identity

5.8

6.5

89.23%

5

Anger Management

5.3

5.7

92.98%

6

Holes

4.5

4.9

91.84%

7

A Mighty Wind (765 theaters)

3.4

3.0

86.67%

8

Malibu's Most Wanted

2.2

2.1

95.24%

9

Bend It Like Beckham

1.6

1.7

94.12%

10

Confidence

1.3

1.5

86.67%

11

It Runs in the Family

1.0

1.0

100.00%

12

Phone Booth

0.8

1.0

80.00%


5/2-4

1

X2: X-Men United (3,741 theaters)

77.2

85.6

90.19%

2

The Lizzie McGuire Movie (2,825 theaters)

13.4

17.3

77.46%

3

Identity

8.9

9.4

94.68%

4

Anger Management

8.5

8.4

98.81%

5

Holes

7.4

6.9

92.75%

6

Malibu's Most Wanted

3.7

4.0

92.50%

7

Confidence

2.4

2.5

96.00%

8

Bulletproof Monk

1.9

1.5

73.33%

9

What a Girl Wants

1.7

1.2

58.33%

10

It Runs in the Family

1.6

1.6

100.00%

11

Phone Booth

1.5

1.5

100.00%


4/25-27

1

Anger Management

14.5

15.0

96.67%

2

Identity (2,733 theaters)

13.2

16.2

81.48%

3

Holes

10.5

12.6

83.33%

4

The Real Cancun (2,261 theaters)

7.1

2.1

0%

5

Malibu's Most Wanted

6.4

7.3

87.67%

6

Bulletproof Monk

4.5

4.4

97.73%

7

Phone Booth

3.7

3.0

76.67%

8

It Runs in the Family (1,207 theaters)

3.0

2.8

92.86%

9

What a Girl Wants

2.7

3.2

84.38%

10

Confidence (1,871 theaters)

2.6

4.6

56.52%

-

Better Luck Tomorrow (380 theaters)

1.7

1.0

30.00$


4/18-20

1

Anger Management

20.1

25.0

80.40%

2

Holes (2,331 theaters)

17.5

16.3

92.64%

3

Malibu's Most Wanted (2,503 theaters)

12.5

12.6

99.21%

4

Bulletproof Monk (2,955 theaters)

10.2

8.7

82.76%

5

Phone Booth

4.5

5.7

78.95%

6

What a Girl Wants

4.1

4.5

91.11%

7

Bringing Down the House

3.2

3.3

96.97%

8

Chasing Papi (583 theaters)

2.9

2.4

79.17%

9

Chicago

2.3

2.5

92.00%

10

A Man Apart

2.2

2.8

78.57%

-

House of 1,000 Corpses (847 theaters)

1.5

2.5

60.00%

-

A Mighty Wind (133 theaters)

1.3

2.1

61.90%


4/11-12

1

Anger Management (3,551 theaters)

42.2

42.2

100.00%

2

Phone Booth

8.3

7.6

90.79%

3

What a Girl Wants

8.1

6.3

71.43%

4

Bringing Down the House

5.9

4.5

68.89%

5

A Man Apart

5.9

4.5

68.89%

6

Head of State

5.3

4.0

67.50%

7

The Core

3.9

3.3

81.82%

8

Chicago

3.8

3.2

81.25%

9

Basic

3.0

2.1

57.14%

10

Agent Cody Banks

2.6

1.7

47.06%

-

House of 1,000 Corpses (595 theaters)

0.9

3.5

25.71%


4/4-6

1

What a Girl Wants (2,964 theaters)

16.1

11.4

58.77%

2

A Man Apart (2,459 theaters)

9.2

11.0

83.64%

3

Bringing Down the House

8.5

8.3

97.59%

4

Head of State

7.9

8.6

91.86%

5

Phone Booth (2,481 theaters)

7.2

15.0

48.00%

6

The Core

6.7

6.2

91.94%

7

Basic

6.5

5.4

79.63%

8

Chicago

5.2

5.1

98.04%

9

DysFunKtional Family (602 theaters)

4.5

1.1

0%

10

Agent Cody Banks

4.1

3.6

86.11%

 

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Forecast Archive

2003

JANUARY-MARCH

2002

OCTOBER-DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

2001
Average Accuracy: 86.47%

OCTOBER–DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

2000
Average Accuracy: 85.02%

OCTOBER-DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

1999

OCTOBER-DECEMBER

JULY-SEPTEMBER

APRIL-JUNE

JANUARY-MARCH

1998

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Copyright © 1998-2003 by Brandon Gray. All Rights Reserved.