|
The Original
BOX OFFICE FORECAST™
by Brandon Gray
The most accurate
box office predictions since 1998.
Blue = Prediction Red = Actual
Purple = % Accuracy
(Predictions and actuals in $ millions)
JANUARY-MARCH,
2003
3/28-30
|
1 |
Basic (2,876 theaters) |
17.5 |
11.5
|
47.83% |
|
4 |
The Core (3,017 theaters) |
15.1 |
12.1
|
75.21% |
|
3 |
Bringing Down the House |
10.9 |
12.5
|
87.20% |
|
2 |
Head of State (2,151 theaters) |
10.1 |
13.5
|
74.81% |
|
5 |
Dreamcatcher |
6.5 |
6.6
|
98.48% |
|
6 |
Chicago |
6.3 |
7.2
|
87.50% |
|
7 |
Agent Cody Banks |
5.8 |
6.4
|
90.63% |
|
8 |
Piglet's Big Movie |
3.7 |
4.9
|
75.51% |
|
9 |
View from the Top |
3.5 |
3.5
|
100.00% |
|
10 |
The Hunted |
3.3 |
3.6
|
91.67% |
|
- |
The Pianist (773 theaters) |
1.8 |
2.5
|
72.00% |
3/21-23
|
1 |
Bringing Down the House |
15.4 |
16.2
|
95.06% |
|
2 |
Dreamcatcher (2,945 theaters) |
14.7 |
15.0
|
98.00% |
|
3 |
Agent Cody Banks |
9.1 |
9.2
|
98.91% |
|
4 |
Piglet's Big Movie (2,084 theaters) |
8.4 |
6.1
|
62.30% |
|
5 |
Chicago |
7.9 |
6.2
|
72.58% |
|
6 |
The Hunted |
6.5 |
6.5
|
100.00% |
|
7 |
View from the Top (2,508 theaters) |
6.3 |
7.0
|
90.00% |
|
8 |
Tears of the Sun |
4.9 |
4.4
|
88.64% |
|
9 |
Old School |
4.6 |
3.9
|
82.05% |
|
10 |
Boat Trip (1,714 theaters) |
3.7 |
3.8
|
97.37% |
3/14-16
|
1 |
Agent Cody Banks (3,369 theaters) |
21.1 |
14.1
|
50.35% |
|
2 |
Bringing Down the House |
20.2 |
22.1
|
91.40% |
|
3 |
The Hunted (2,516 theaters) |
14.1 |
13.5
|
95.56% |
|
4 |
Tears of the Sun |
9.7 |
8.7
|
88.51% |
|
5 |
Chicago |
6.1 |
7.1
|
85.92% |
|
6 |
Old School |
6.0 |
6.7
|
89.55% |
|
7 |
Willard (1,761 theaters) |
5.0 |
4.0
|
75.00% |
|
8 |
How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days |
4.4 |
4.7
|
93.62% |
|
9 |
Cradle 2 the Grave |
3.1 |
3.0
|
96.67% |
|
10 |
Daredevil |
2.8 |
3.0
|
93.33% |
3/7-9
|
1 |
Bringing Down the House (2,801 theaters) |
21.0 |
31.1
|
67.52% |
|
2 |
Tears of the Sun (2,973 theaters) |
17.2 |
17.1
|
99.42% |
|
3 |
Old School |
9.5 |
9.2
|
96.74% |
|
4 |
Cradle 2 the Grave |
7.8 |
6.5
|
80.00% |
|
5 |
How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days |
7.5 |
6.7
|
88.06% |
|
6 |
Chicago |
6.9 |
6.8
|
98.53% |
|
7 |
Daredevil |
6.4 |
5.2
|
76.92% |
|
8 |
The Jungle Book 2 |
4.6 |
4.3
|
93.02% |
|
9 |
Shanghai Knights |
3.3 |
2.7
|
77.78% |
|
10 |
The Life of David Gale |
2.7 |
2.1
|
71.43% |
2/28-3/2
|
1 |
Cradle 2 the Grave (2,625 theaters) |
16.4 |
16.5
|
99.39% |
|
2 |
Old School |
12.3 |
14.0
|
87.86% |
|
3 |
Daredevil |
10.2 |
11.1
|
91.89% |
|
4 |
How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days |
8.2 |
10.3
|
79.61% |
|
5 |
Chicago |
7.1 |
7.9
|
89.87% |
|
6 |
The Jungle Book 2 |
6.5 |
7.0
|
92.86% |
|
7 |
Shanghai Knights |
4.5 |
5.0
|
90.00% |
|
8 |
The Life of David Gale |
4.4 |
4.5
|
97.78% |
|
9 |
Gods and Generals |
3.4 |
2.9
|
82.76% |
|
10 |
Dark Blue |
2.4 |
2.4
|
100.00% |
2/21-23
|
1 |
Daredevil |
19.5 |
18.1
|
92.27% |
|
2 |
Old School (2,689 theaters) |
15.1 |
17.5
|
86.29% |
|
3 |
How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days |
11.1 |
11.6
|
95.69% |
|
4 |
Chicago |
9.5 |
8.2
|
84.15% |
|
5 |
The Life of David Gale (2,000 theaters) |
9.4 |
7.1
|
67.61% |
|
6 |
The Jungle Book 2 |
8.3 |
8.7
|
95.40% |
|
7 |
Gods and Generals (1,533 theaters) |
7.7 |
4.7
|
36.17% |
|
8 |
Shanghai Knights |
7.1 |
6.5
|
90.77% |
|
9 |
Dark Blue (2,176 theaters) |
6.8 |
3.9
|
25.64% |
|
10 |
The Recruit |
4.1 |
3.4
|
79.41% |
2/14-17
|
1 |
Daredevil (3,471 theaters) |
41.2 |
45.0
|
91.56% |
|
2 |
How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days |
19.4 |
20.7
|
93.72% |
|
3 |
The Jungle Book 2 (2,808 theaters) |
17.6 |
14.1
|
75.18% |
|
4 |
Chicago |
14.8 |
14.5
|
97.93% |
|
5 |
Shanghai Knights |
14.4 |
12.8
|
87.50% |
|
6 |
The Recruit |
7.3 |
7.3
|
100.00% |
|
7 |
Kangaroo Jack |
6.0 |
5.0
|
80.00% |
|
8 |
Final Destination 2 |
5.9 |
6.2
|
95.16% |
|
9 |
The Hours (1,003 theaters) |
5.4 |
3.9
|
61.54% |
|
10 |
Deliver Us from Eva |
4.5 |
4.4
|
97.73% |
|
11 |
The Two Towers |
4.0 |
3.6
|
88.89% |
2/7-9
|
1 |
Shanghai Knights (2,753 theaters) |
22.2 |
19.6
|
86.73% |
|
2 |
How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days (2,923 theaters) |
17.6 |
23.8
|
73.95% |
|
3 |
Chicago (1,841 theaters) |
12.4 |
10.8
|
85.19% |
|
4 |
The Recruit |
10.8 |
9.2
|
82.61% |
|
5 |
Final Destination 2 |
8.9 |
8.4
|
94.05% |
|
6 |
Deliver Us from Eva (1,139 theaters) |
6.4 |
6.6
|
96.97% |
|
7 |
Kangaroo Jack |
6.2 |
6.1
|
98.36% |
|
8 |
Biker Boyz |
4.8 |
4.2
|
85.71% |
|
9 |
Darkness Falls |
3.4 |
3.8
|
89.47% |
|
10 |
The Two Towers |
3.3 |
3.5
|
94.29% |
1/31-2/2
|
1 |
Final Destination 2 (2,834 theaters) |
16.8 |
16.0
|
95.00% |
|
2 |
The Recruit (2,376 theaters) |
14.1 |
16.3
|
86.50% |
|
3 |
Kangaroo Jack |
8.1 |
9.0
|
90.00% |
|
4 |
Chicago |
6.9 |
7.1
|
97.18% |
|
5 |
Biker Boyz (1,766 theaters) |
6.3 |
10.1
|
62.38% |
|
6 |
Darkness Falls |
5.9 |
7.0
|
84.29% |
|
7 |
The Two Towers |
4.5 |
5.1
|
88.24% |
|
8 |
Catch Me If You Can |
4.3 |
5.1
|
84.31% |
|
9 |
Just Married |
4.1 |
4.8
|
85.42% |
|
10 |
National Security |
3.9 |
4.3
|
90.70% |
|
11 |
About Schmidt |
3.9 |
4.5
|
86.67% |
1/24-26
|
1 |
Kangaroo Jack |
10.7 |
11.5
|
93.04% |
|
2 |
Darkness Falls (2,837 theaters) |
8.4 |
12.0
|
70.00% |
|
3 |
Chicago (629 theaters) |
8.3 |
8.2
|
98.78% |
|
4 |
National Security |
7.9 |
7.3
|
91.78% |
|
5 |
Catch Me If You Can |
6.0 |
6.5
|
92.31% |
|
6 |
The Two Towers |
5.9 |
6.6
|
89.39% |
|
7 |
Just Married |
5.6 |
6.5
|
86.15% |
|
8 |
Confessions of a Dangerous Mind (1,769 theaters) |
5.5 |
5.8
|
94.83% |
|
9 |
About Schmidt (1,236 theaters) |
5.1 |
5.4
|
94.44% |
|
10 |
The Hours (502 theaters) |
4.8 |
3.9
|
76.92% |
1/17-20
|
1 |
Kangaroo Jack (2,818 theaters) |
19.3 |
21.9
|
88.13% |
|
2 |
National Security (2,729 theaters) |
14.5 |
16.8
|
86.31% |
|
3 |
Catch Me If You Can |
13.7 |
12.5
|
90.40% |
|
4 |
The Two Towers |
13.2 |
12.5
|
94.40% |
|
5 |
Just Married |
12.0 |
13.8
|
86.96% |
|
6 |
Chicago (557 theaters) |
7.8 |
9.7
|
80.41% |
|
7 |
A Guy Thing (2,515 theaters) |
5.9 |
8.0
|
73.75% |
|
8 |
About Schmidt |
5.9 |
6.8
|
86.76% |
|
9 |
Two Weeks Notice |
5.7 |
4.7
|
78.72% |
|
10 |
Gangs of New York |
4.3 |
4.6
|
93.48% |
|
- |
The Hours (402 theaters) |
3.6 |
5.7
|
63.16% |
1/10-12
|
1 |
The Two Towers |
16.5 |
14.8
|
88.51% |
|
2 |
Catch Me If You Can |
15.3 |
14.6
|
95.21% |
|
3 |
Just Married (2,764 theaters) |
13.8 |
17.5
|
78.86% |
|
4 |
Two Weeks Notice |
8.0 |
6.8
|
82.35% |
|
5 |
About Schmidt |
7.0 |
6.4
|
90.63% |
|
6 |
Maid in Manhattan |
5.7 |
5.1
|
88.24% |
|
7 |
Gangs of New York |
5.1 |
4.8
|
93.75% |
|
8 |
Antwone Fisher (1,006 theaters) |
5.0 |
3.8
|
68.42% |
|
9 |
Chicago |
4.5 |
5.7
|
78.95% |
|
10 |
Narc (822 theaters) |
4.1 |
2.8
|
53.57% |
|
11 |
The Wild Thornberrys |
3.2 |
2.8
|
85.71% |
|
12 |
Adaptation (560 theaters) |
2.9 |
2.6
|
88.46% |
|
- |
25th Hour (490 theaters) |
2.1 |
2.8
|
75.00% |
1/3-5
|
1 |
The Two Towers |
28.6 |
25.0
|
85.60% |
|
2 |
Catch Me If You Can |
20.9 |
21.1
|
99.05% |
|
3 |
Two Weeks Notice |
11.0 |
11.1
|
99.10% |
|
4 |
Maid in Manhattan |
8.7 |
8.6
|
98.84% |
|
5 |
Gangs of New York |
7.6 |
7.3
|
95.89% |
|
6 |
About Schmidt (816 theaters) |
6.4 |
8.5
|
75.29% |
|
7 |
Drumline |
4.8 |
5.3
|
90.57% |
|
8 |
The Wild Thornberrys |
4.6 |
5.5
|
83.64% |
|
9 |
Chicago (304 theaters) |
4.1 |
5.0
|
82.00% |
|
10 |
Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets |
4.0 |
4.7
|
85.11% |
CLICK HERE TO TEST YOUR PREDICTING PROWESS
Forecast Archive
2002
OCTOBER-DECEMBER
JULY-SEPTEMBER
APRIL-JUNE
JANUARY-MARCH
2001
Average Accuracy: 86.47%
OCTOBER–DECEMBER
JULY-SEPTEMBER
APRIL-JUNE
JANUARY-MARCH
2000
Average Accuracy: 85.02%
OCTOBER-DECEMBER
JULY-SEPTEMBER
APRIL-JUNE
JANUARY-MARCH
1999
OCTOBER-DECEMBER
JULY-SEPTEMBER
APRIL-JUNE
JANUARY-MARCH
1998
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